Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas).

: LaLiga - Round 35
Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	1.22
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	8
Passes
71% (224/315)	81% (393/484)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	1.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.77	1.09
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
8	11
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	8
Touches in opposition box
24	20
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
71% (224/315)	81% (393/484)
Long passes
31% (18/59)	48% (32/67)
Passes in final third
64% (72/113)	66% (74/112)
Crosses
14% (4/29)	39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.77	0.90
Throw-ins
35	28
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
60% (12/20)	93% (14/15)
Duels won
61	64
Clearances
22	48
Interceptions
12	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.09	0.77
Goals prevented
0.09	0.77

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Valentin O. 🟨,
44', McBurnie O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Essugo D. 🟨,
57', Essugo D. ↓, Marvin ↑,
59', Embarba A. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
59', Lopez U. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
70', Alex Suarez ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
70', Januzaj A. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
70', Javier Munoz ↓, Campana J. ↑,
76', Palazon I. 🟨,
78', Valentin O. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
78', Ratiu A. ↓, Pacha ↑,
78', Batalla A. 🟨,
81', Bajcetic S. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
83', Garcia A. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,

Chances of winning

Las Palmas
37.8%

Draw
30%

Rayo Vallecano
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

29.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.56)	3.22 ↓ (3.32)	3 ↑ (2.89)	3.8% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano?

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 12 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 37.5% – 71.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2.
Las Palmas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rayo Vallecano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Las Palmas: McKenna S. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (Yellow Cards) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Las Palmas: Silva F. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Montiel J. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Rayo Vallecano?

Las Palmas has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Las Palmas?

Rayo Vallecano has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:

08.11.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas 1:3

20.01.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas 0:2

22.10.2023 Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano 0:1

Latest results of Las Palmas

03.05.2025 Las Palmas - Valencia 2:3 ✺

23.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Getafe - Las Palmas 1:3 ✺

06.04.2025 Las Palmas - Real Sociedad 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

02.05.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Getafe 1:0 ✺

24.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 3:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 0:4 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Max
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online