Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Result
0:1
09/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 35
  • Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoCanal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Max
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.22
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
71% (224/315)81% (393/484)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.09
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
98
Passes
71% (224/315)81% (393/484)
Long passes
31% (18/59)48% (32/67)
Passes in final third
64% (72/113)66% (74/112)
Crosses
14% (4/29)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.90
Throw-ins
3528
Fouls
89
Tackles
60% (12/20)93% (14/15)
Duels won
6164
Clearances
2248
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.090.77
Goals prevented
0.090.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Valentin O. 🟨,
  • 44', McBurnie O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Essugo D. 🟨,
  • 57', Essugo D. ↓, Marvin ↑,
  • 59', Embarba A. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
  • 59', Lopez U. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
  • 66', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
  • 70', Alex Suarez ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
  • 70', Januzaj A. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
  • 70', Javier Munoz ↓, Campana J. ↑,
  • 76', Palazon I. 🟨,
  • 78', Valentin O. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
  • 78', Ratiu A. ↓, Pacha ↑,
  • 78', Batalla A. 🟨,
  • 81', Bajcetic S. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
  • 83', Garcia A. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,

Chances of winning


Las Palmas
37.8%		Draw
30%		Rayo Vallecano
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 29% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 29.2% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.53 ↓
    (2.56)    		 3.22 ↓
    (3.32)    		 3 ↑
    (2.89)    		 3.8%
    (3.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 12 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 37.5% – 71.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Rayo Vallecano (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Las Palmas (1.79) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • DNB - Las Palmas (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2.
    • Las Palmas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rayo Vallecano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: McKenna S. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez K. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (Yellow Cards) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Las Palmas: Silva F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Montiel J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas 1:3
    20.01.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas 0:2
    22.10.2023 Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano 0:1
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    03.05.2025 Las Palmas - Valencia 2:3 ✺
    23.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas 1:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Getafe - Las Palmas 1:3 ✺
    06.04.2025 Las Palmas - Real Sociedad 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    02.05.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Getafe 1:0 ✺
    24.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 3:1 ✺
    04.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 0:4 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona28231477:284970
    2Real Madrid28213460:243666
    3Atl. Madrid28176547:252257
    4Villarreal28174751:331855
    5Betis281111643:35844
    6Celta Vigo281011738:31741
    7Real Sociedad281081043:42138
    8Espanyol281071135:42-737
    9Getafe281051323:30-735
    10Ath Bilbao281051330:40-1035
    11Osasuna28971233:35-234
    12Girona288101031:43-1234
    13Rayo Vallecano287111028:34-632
    14Valencia28881230:42-1232
    15Sevilla28871337:47-1031
    16Mallorca28771433:45-1228
    17Alaves28771426:38-1228
    18Elche285111236:45-926
    19Levante28581530:46-1623
    20Oviedo28491518:44-2621

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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