Atlanta Dream vs Las Vegas Aces – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Atlanta Dream - Las Vegas Aces
Result
75:81
27/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7567
Field Goals Made
3032
Field Goals %
40%47.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5146
2-Point Field Goals Made
2624
2-Point Field Goals %
51%52.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2421
3-Point Field Goals Made
48
3-Point Field Goals %
16.7%38.1%
Free Throws Attempted
1311
Free Throws Made
119
Free Throws %
84.6%81.8%
Offensive Rebounds
135
Defensive Rebounds
3028
Total Rebounds
4333
Assists
2026
Blocks
36
Turnovers
107
Steals
44
Personal Fouls
1214

Chances of winning


Atlanta Dream
58.8%
Las Vegas Aces
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta Dream has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Dream's performance.
  • Las Vegas Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Vegas Aces might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Dream than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta Dream that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Aces than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Vegas Aces could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlanta Dream - Las Vegas Aces Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.74)

    2.3
    (1.93)
    5.3%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 162.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta Dream - Las Vegas Aces?
  • Users Predictions: Las Vegas Aces will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1.
    • In recent matches, Atlanta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Las Vegas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Atlanta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Las Vegas will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1588:1777. (average 79.4:88.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 705:791. (average 78.3:87.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Dream - Las Vegas Aces were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Las Vegas Aces - Atlanta Dream 74:72
    22.07.2025 Las Vegas Aces - Atlanta Dream 87:72
    30.08.2024 Las Vegas Aces - Atlanta Dream 83:72
    12.07.2024 Atlanta Dream - Las Vegas Aces 70:84
    31.05.2024 Atlanta Dream - Las Vegas Aces 78:74
    Latest results of Atlanta Dream
    Latest results of Las Vegas Aces
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W393183382:29970.795
    2Las Vegas Aces W4026143308:32630.650
    3Phoenix Mercury W3925143240:31050.641
    4Golden State Valkyries W3921183072:29970.538
    5Seattle Storm W4122193379:32760.537
    6Los Angeles Sparks W3818203264:33440.474
    7Dallas Wings W409313269:35240.225


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Atlanta Dream W4026143347:30840.650
    2New York Liberty W4024163405:32400.600
    3Indiana Fever W4021193381:32870.525
    4Washington Mystics W4116253194:33450.390
    5Connecticut Sun W4010303052:34350.250
    6Chicago Sky W399302957:33530.231


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W393183382:29970.795
    2Las Vegas Aces W4026143308:32630.650
    3Atlanta Dream W4026143347:30840.650
    4Phoenix Mercury W3925143240:31050.641
    5New York Liberty W4024163405:32400.600
    6Golden State Valkyries W3921183072:29970.538
    7Seattle Storm W4122193379:32760.537
    8Indiana Fever W4021193381:32870.525
    9Los Angeles Sparks W3818203264:33440.474
    10Washington Mystics W4116253194:33450.390
    11Connecticut Sun W4010303052:34350.250
    12Chicago Sky W399302957:33530.231
    13Dallas Wings W409313269:35240.225

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