Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces
Result
81:84
29/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7160
Field Goals Made
2726
Field Goals %
38%43.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4736
2-Point Field Goals Made
1717
2-Point Field Goals %
36.2%47.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2424
3-Point Field Goals Made
109
3-Point Field Goals %
41.7%37.5%
Free Throws Attempted
2126
Free Throws Made
1723
Free Throws %
81%88.5%
Offensive Rebounds
125
Defensive Rebounds
2331
Total Rebounds
3536
Assists
1920
Blocks
33
Turnovers
77
Steals
55
Personal Fouls
2019

Chances of winning


Phoenix Mercury
68.3%
Las Vegas Aces
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Las Vegas Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Aces than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.42)

    3.08
    (2.95)
    4.1%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 168.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:81.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 2.
    • Phoenix has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Las Vegas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Las Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Phoenix has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Phoenix is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Phoenix will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1667:1835. (average 83.4:91.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 581:652. (average 83:93.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury 70:76
    06.05.2025 Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury 85:84
    01.09.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces 79:97
    13.06.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces 99:103
    21.05.2024 Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury 88:98
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    Latest results of Las Vegas Aces
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    3Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    4Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    5Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    6Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    7Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    2Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    3Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    4Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    5Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    6Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    3Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    4Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    5Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    6Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    7Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    8Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    9Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    10Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    11Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276
    12Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    13Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192

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