Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury
Result
83:61
21/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7369
Field Goals Made
3422
Field Goals %
46.6%31.9%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5137
2-Point Field Goals Made
2816
2-Point Field Goals %
54.9%43.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2232
3-Point Field Goals Made
66
3-Point Field Goals %
27.3%18.8%
Free Throws Attempted
1013
Free Throws Made
911
Free Throws %
90%84.6%
Offensive Rebounds
613
Defensive Rebounds
3130
Total Rebounds
3743
Assists
1812
Blocks
42
Turnovers
413
Steals
92
Personal Fouls
910

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Aces
54.5%
Phoenix Mercury
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Aces has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Aces than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.77)

    2.13
    (2.1)
    4.2%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Phoenix will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 4.
    • Las Vegas has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Phoenix has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1818:1624. (average 90.9:81.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 996:879. (average 90.5:79.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces 83:86
    29.06.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces 81:84
    15.06.2025 Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury 70:76
    06.05.2025 Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury 85:84
    01.09.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces 79:97
    Latest results of Las Vegas Aces
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W393183382:29970.795
    2Las Vegas Aces W4026143308:32630.650
    3Phoenix Mercury W3925143240:31050.641
    4Seattle Storm W4122193379:32760.537
    5Golden State Valkyries W3820182997:29340.526
    6Los Angeles Sparks W3717203183:32660.459
    7Dallas Wings W409313269:35240.225


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Atlanta Dream W3925143254:30080.641
    2New York Liberty W4024163405:32400.600
    3Indiana Fever W3921183318:32120.538
    4Washington Mystics W4016243116:32640.400
    5Connecticut Sun W3910292976:33420.256
    6Chicago Sky W399302957:33530.231


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W393183382:29970.795
    2Las Vegas Aces W4026143308:32630.650
    3Atlanta Dream W3925143254:30080.641
    4Phoenix Mercury W3925143240:31050.641
    5New York Liberty W4024163405:32400.600
    6Indiana Fever W3921183318:32120.538
    7Seattle Storm W4122193379:32760.537
    8Golden State Valkyries W3820182997:29340.526
    9Los Angeles Sparks W3717203183:32660.459
    10Washington Mystics W4016243116:32640.400
    11Connecticut Sun W3910292976:33420.256
    12Chicago Sky W399302957:33530.231
    13Dallas Wings W409313269:35240.225

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