Result
2:2
06/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 16
- Referee: Simsek I. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (166/237) | 90% (444/495) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 50 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (166/237) | 90% (444/495) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (29/65) | 56% (27/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (32/58) | 84% (149/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 29% (14/49) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Kainz T. ⚽, Havel E. (A),
- 23', Wilfinger F. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 0, Havel E. ⚽, Hennig M. (A),
- 32', 2 - 1, Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. ⚽, Bello G. (A),
- 41', Alemao 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hennig M. ↓, Fillafer M. ↑,
- 49', Fillafer M. 🟨,
- 55', Hulsmann T. 🟨,
- 60', Adeniran S. ↓, Kalajdzic S. ↑,
- 60', Danek K. ↓, Entrup M. ↑,
- 67', Kalajdzic S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Diarra Y. ↓, Prokop D. ↑,
- 74', Hulsmann T. 🟥,
- 76', Hoffmann M. ↓, Helac A. ↑,
- 82', Bogarde M. 🟨,
- 84', Bello G. 🟨,
- 90', Kovacevic D. ↓, Golles J. ↑,
- 90+1', Kainz T. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Usor M. ⚽, Andrade A. (A),
Chances of winning
Hartberg
26.2% | Draw
27.2% | LASK Linz
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartberg's form might have worsened.LASK Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for LASK Linz than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Hartberg - LASK Linz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(2.92) |
3.46 ↓
(3.58) |
2.04 ↓
(2.19) |
5.6%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hartberg - LASK Linz?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hartberg will win (votes: 2 - 20%). LASK will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LASK: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LASK (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - LASK (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. LASK (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 0.
- In recent matches, Hartberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- LASK is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- LASK might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Hartberg: Drew J.
(Back Injury)
Heil J.
(Yellow Cards)
Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in LASK: Smakaj A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartberg won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against LASK Linz?
Hartberg has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LASK Linz won against Hartberg?
LASK Linz has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartberg - LASK Linz were as follows:
05.10.2025
LASK Linz
-
Hartberg
3:3
26.05.2025
LASK Linz
-
Hartberg
2:0
10.05.2025
LASK Linz
-
Hartberg
0:0
12.04.2025
Hartberg
-
LASK Linz
0:1
02.11.2024
LASK Linz
-
Hartberg
1:1
Latest results of Hartberg
Latest results of LASK Linz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | LASK | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 29 |
| 7 | Altach | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Ried | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 25 |
| 10 | Tirol | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 20:33 | -13 | 17 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 17:32 | -15 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
