Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Baez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/03/2025 at 17:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceEurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
83
1st Serve Percentage
56%68%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (37/53)65% (42/65)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (19/41)52% (16/31)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
35% (23/65)30% (16/53)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (15/31)54% (22/41)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)40% (4/10)
Service Points Won
60% (56/94)60% (58/96)
Return Points Won
40% (38/96)40% (38/94)
Total Points Won
49% (94/190)51% (96/190)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Laslo Djere
44.3%
Sebastian Baez
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 58.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Laslo Djere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laslo Djere than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.99)

    1.72
    (1.7)
    4.2%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Djere will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). Baez will win (votes: 29 - 78.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 65.1%91.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Djere is ranked ATP: 103. Baez is ranked ATP: 31.
    • Djere is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Baez in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Our prediction for today's Baez to win the game is with odds 1.73.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Djere won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
    24.08.2023 Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez 0:2
    03.03.2023 Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez 0:2
    Latest results of Laslo Djere
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Hanfmann Y.TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2