Launceston Tornadoes vs Mount Gambier Pioneers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
72:60
05/07/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South Women

Chances of winning


Launceston Tornadoes
67.4%
Mount Gambier Pioneers
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Launceston Tornadoes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Launceston Tornadoes's performance.
  • Mount Gambier Pioneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mount Gambier Pioneers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Launceston Tornadoes than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Launceston Tornadoes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mount Gambier Pioneers than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mount Gambier Pioneers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Launceston Tornadoes - Mount Gambier Pioneers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.5)

    2.99
    (2.31)
    2.7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 146.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    What is the prediction for Launceston Tornadoes - Mount Gambier Pioneers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -3, OT - Launceston (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -2.5, OT - Launceston (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -2, OT - Launceston (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -4.5, OT - Launceston (1.85) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -5.5, OT - Launceston (1.82) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -3.5, OT - Launceston (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Launceston (votes: 14 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:68.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Mount Gambier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Launceston has had a series of away games.
    • Launceston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Launceston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 281:315. (average 70.3:78.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Launceston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 156:160. (average 78:80).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Launceston Tornadoes - Mount Gambier Pioneers were as follows:
    19.04.2024 Mount Gambier Pioneers - Launceston Tornadoes 79:63
    08.07.2023 Launceston Tornadoes - Mount Gambier Pioneers 74:81
    Latest results of Launceston Tornadoes
    Latest results of Mount Gambier Pioneers
    Australian NBL1 South Women Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Eltham W761608:4740.857
    2Sandringham W651461:3880.833
    3Casey Cavaliers W651553:4890.833
    4Mt. Gambier W651528:5020.833
    5Diamond Valley W642510:4560.667
    6Kilsyth W642487:4600.667
    7Bendigo Braves W532451:4270.600
    8Knox W743557:5120.571
    9Ballarat W743590:5510.571
    10Nunawading W743571:5650.571
    11Frankston W743539:5440.571
    12Waverley W633460:4260.500
    13Keilor Thunder W633387:4030.500
    14Melbourne Tigers W624439:5110.333
    15Hobart Chargers W615460:5260.167
    16Dandenong Rangers W615408:4940.167
    17Ringwood W716567:6440.143
    18Northern Tasmania W606454:5150.000
    19Geelong W505316:4590.000

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