Laurent Lokoli vs Ergi Kirkin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
102
1st serve percentage
62%49%
1st serve points won
59% (42/71)65% (34/52)
2nd serve points won
51% (22/43)45% (25/55)
Break Points Saved
13/176/12
1st return points won
35% (18/52)41% (29/71)
2nd return points won
55% (30/55)49% (21/43)
Break Points Converted
6/124/17
Winners
3336
Unforced errors
5347
Net points won
58% (11/19)61% (14/23)
Service Points Won
56% (64/114)55% (59/107)
Return Points Won
45% (48/107)44% (50/114)
Total Points Won
51% (112/221)49% (109/221)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
71% (10/14)60% (9/15)
Return games won
40% (6/15)29% (4/14)
Total games won
55% (16/29)45% (13/29)

Chances of winning


Laurent Lokoli
64.3%
Ergi Kirkin
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Laurent Lokoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laurent Lokoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Laurent Lokoli - Ergi Kirkin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.41)

    2.6
    (2.7)
    7.6%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Lokoli is ranked ATP: 448. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 568.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lokoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lokoli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Laurent Lokoli
    Latest results of Ergi Kirkin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Piros Z. (1)Dalla Valle E. (WC)0 : 2
    2Obradovic D. (Alt)Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    3Krumich M.Sperle J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    5Travaglia S. (4)Poljicak M.2 : 0
    6Squire H.Palosi S. (RET.) (LL)1 : 0
    7Alcala Gurri M.Cerny M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Langmo C. (Q)Molcan A. (5)0 : 2
    9Neumayer L. (8)Nagal S.2 : 1
    10Fatic N.Pereira T.2 : 0
    11Pieri S. (Q)Michalski D.0 : 2
    12Kuzmanov D.Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    13Giustino L. (6)Forejtek J.0 : 2
    14Nedic A.Ivanisevic E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Simundza J. (WC)Perez Contri S. (Q)0 : 2
    16Sels J.Jacquet K. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dalla Valle E.Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    2Krumich M.Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    3Travaglia S. (4)Squire H.2 : 0
    4Alcala Gurri M.Molcan A. (5)1 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (8)Fatic N.2 : 1
    6Michalski D.Gea A. (3)0 : 2
    7Forejtek J.Nedic A.2 : 0
    8Perez Contri S.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ajdukovic D.Dodig M. (7)0 : 2
    2Travaglia S. (4)Molcan A. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Neumayer L. (8)Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    4Forejtek J.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M. (7)Travaglia S. (4)0 : 2
    2Gea A. (3)Jacquet K. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Travaglia S. (4)Gea A. (RET.) (3)0 : 0