Result
1:1
10/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 30
- Referee: Sanli H. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (344/413) | 83% (351/425) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (344/413) | 83% (351/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 52% (36/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (96/117) | 67% (78/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Kaloga I. 🟨,
- 35', Bah K. 🟨,
- 45', Itaitinga 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Nkama J. 🟨,
- 49', El Jaouhari M. 🟨,
- 50', 0 - 1, Nkama J. ⚽,
- 54', Rufli V. 🟨,
- 61', El Jaouhari M. ↓, Bua K. ↑,
- 62', Correia O. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
- 63', Bah K. 🟨,
- 72', Sartoretti M. ↓, Socka Bongue L. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Itaitinga ⚽,
- 74', Philippin R. ↓, Escorza T. ↑,
- 84', Tritten V. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
- 89', Nomel L. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
- 89', Nkama J. ↓, Akichi E. ↑,
- 90', Bouchlarhem T. ↓, Essiena Avang L. ↑,
- 90', Rufli V. ↓, Boulkous N. ↑,
- 90+4', Escorza T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
35.2% | Draw
25.7% | Lausanne Ouchy
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Étoile Carouge's performance.Lausanne Ouchy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lausanne Ouchy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Étoile Carouge that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(3.46) |
3.57 ↓
(3.65) |
2.35 ↑
(1.91) |
8.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Étoile (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Étoile Carouge will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 1.
- Étoile is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lausanne Ouchy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Étoile: Bossiwa S.
(Inactive)
Harrington F.
(Injury)
Strohbach I.
(Inactive)
Walker M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lausanne Ouchy: Barbet T.
(Yellow Cards)
Da Silva D.
(Inactive)
Djoumgoue M.
(Inactive)
Gelato L.
(Inactive)
Kadima R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Étoile: Hoxha F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Lausanne Ouchy?
Étoile Carouge has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lausanne Ouchy won against Étoile Carouge?
Lausanne Ouchy has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy were as follows:
28.02.2026
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Étoile Carouge
0:1
19.12.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Lausanne Ouchy
1:2
30.08.2025
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Étoile Carouge
2:0
02.05.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Lausanne Ouchy
1:2
31.01.2025
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Étoile Carouge
1:0
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Latest results of Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 62:33 | 29 | 68 |
| 2 | Aarau | 29 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 60:40 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 61:38 | 23 | 56 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Xamax | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 43:46 | -3 | 39 |
| 6 | Etoile-Carouge | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 33 |
| 7 | Wil | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:43 | -12 | 33 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 32 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 29:60 | -31 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
