Result
1:2
19/12/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 18
- Referee: Berchier L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (269/349) | 84% (447/529) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (269/349) | 84% (447/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (37/70) | 57% (32/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (50/75) | 69% (109/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Kaloga I. 🟨,
- 17', Lusuena N. 🟨,
- 25', Conus B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', 1 - 0, Itaitinga ⚽,
- 59', Strohbach I. 🟨,
- 60', Escorza T. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
- 62', El Jaouhari M. 🟨,
- 63', Barbet T. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 1, Bah K. ⚽,
- 68', Nkama J. 🟨,
- 72', Traore B. 🟨,
- 79', Caslei B. ↓, Essiena Avang L. ↑,
- 79', Traore B. ↓, Hysenaj F. ↑,
- 79', Tritten V. ↓, Fargues H. ↑,
- 79', Lusuena N. ↓, Akichi E. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Nkama J. ⚽, Nomel L. (A),
- 85', Itaitinga ↓, Patricio A. ↑,
- 90+1', Bah K. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
- 90+6', Kaloga I. ↓, Sutter P. ↑,
- 90+6', Nomel L. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
20.2% | Draw
23.3% | Lausanne Ouchy
56.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.59 ↑
(3.4) |
3.97 ↑
(3.38) |
1.64 ↓
(1.98) |
7.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lausanne Ouchy (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lausanne Ouchy will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 0.
- Étoile has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lausanne Ouchy is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lausanne Ouchy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lausanne Ouchy has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Lausanne Ouchy is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Étoile: Antonio S.
(International duty)
Bossiwa S.
(Inactive)
Bua K.
(Injury)
Harrington F.
(Inactive)
Rufli V.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lausanne Ouchy: Kadima R.
(Injury)
N'Dabrou L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Étoile: Escorza T.
(Inactive)
Sestito L.
(Inactive)
Traore B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lausanne Ouchy: Garcia N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Lausanne Ouchy?
Étoile Carouge has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lausanne Ouchy won against Étoile Carouge?
Lausanne Ouchy has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy were as follows:
30.08.2025
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Étoile Carouge
2:0
02.05.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Lausanne Ouchy
1:2
31.01.2025
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Étoile Carouge
1:0
25.10.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Lausanne Ouchy
1:1
27.09.2024
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Étoile Carouge
5:1
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Latest results of Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 41:16 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aarau | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 35:22 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 34:24 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Xamax | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 7 | Stade Nyonnais | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Wil | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 16 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 14:25 | -11 | 13 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13:33 | -20 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
