Lausanne Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.331.00
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
44
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
74
Passes
86% (429/497)69% (198/285)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.331.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.250.98
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
135
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
137
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
4013
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free kicks
1410
Passes
86% (429/497)69% (198/285)
Long passes
68% (43/63)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
76% (125/164)63% (64/102)
Crosses
23% (5/22)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.90
Throw ins
1413
Fouls
1014
Tackles
42% (5/12)87% (13/15)
Duels won
4148
Clearances
1524
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.981.25
Goals prevented
-0.021.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Nkama J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Correia O. , Bossiwa S. ,
  • 50', Felder V. 🟨,
  • 69', Nkama J. , Fargues H. ,
  • 77', Nomel L. , Garcia N. ,
  • 77', Bua K. , Caslei B. ,
  • 81', Bouchlarhem T. , Escorza T. ,
  • 81', Ricardo Alves , Rufli V. ,
  • 87', Akichi E. , Lusuena N. ,
  • 88', Tritten V. , Socka Bongue L. ,
  • 90', Itaitinga , Sene O. ,
  • 90+1', Bossiwa S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Rufli V. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 0 - 1, Sene O. , Bossiwa S. (A),

Chances of winning


Lausanne Ouchy
59.4%
Draw
22.2%
Étoile Carouge
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 23.8% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 23% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lausanne Ouchy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.62)
    4.16
    (3.85)
    5.01
    (4.61)
    8.5%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lausanne Ouchy won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lausanne Ouchy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lausanne Ouchy is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Lausanne Ouchy: Barbet T. (Inactive) Gelato L. (Inactive) Kadima R. (Injury) Malula B. (Red Card) Noverraz N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Étoile: Walker M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Étoile: Fankhauser S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lausanne Ouchy won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lausanne Ouchy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge were as follows:
    19.12.2025 Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy 1:2
    30.08.2025 Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge 2:0
    02.05.2025 Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy 1:2
    31.01.2025 Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge 1:0
    25.10.2024 Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy 1:1
    Latest results of Lausanne Ouchy
    22.02.2026 Wil 1900 - Lausanne Ouchy 1:0
    13.02.2026 Lausanne Ouchy - Aarau 4:2
    04.02.2026 Lausanne Ouchy - Luzern 2:1
    30.01.2026 Lausanne Ouchy - Vaduz 5:2
    Latest results of Étoile Carouge
    Swiss Challenge League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vaduz26185353:272659
    2Aarau26192553:332059
    3Yverdon26145749:321747
    4Lausanne Ouchy26116944:341039
    5Xamax261061036:36036
    6Rapperswil-Jona26921531:42-1129
    7Wil26691123:38-1527
    8Etoile-Carouge26671328:39-1125
    9Stade Nyonnais264121025:33-824
    10Bellinzona26361723:51-2815

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