Result
3:0
08/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 21
- Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.87 |
| Ball possession |
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| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
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| 83% (283/343) | 85% (372/440) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.95 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.47 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 18 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
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| 21 | 21 |
| Passes |
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| 83% (283/343) | 85% (372/440) |
| Long passes |
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| 44% (17/39) | 65% (44/68) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 74% (60/81) | 71% (90/126) |
| Crosses |
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| 16% (3/19) | 30% (8/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.74 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
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| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 21 | 21 |
| Tackles |
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| 88% (15/17) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
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| 57 | 57 |
| Clearances |
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| 26 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.20 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.20 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Kone K. ⚽, Demhasaj S. (A),
- 36', Abedini E. 🟨,
- 40', Lusuena N. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Demhasaj S. ⚽, Fontana J. (A),
- 44', 3 - 0, Kone K. ⚽, Demhasaj S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Barbet T. ↓, Sutter N. ↑,
- 46', Nomel L. ↓, Socka Bongue L. ↑,
- 46', Fargues H. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
- 59', Lusuena N. ↓, Akichi E. ↑,
- 65', Kone K. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
- 69', Conus B. ↓, Lukembila H. ↑,
- 75', Demhasaj S. ↓, Deme M. ↑,
- 87', Saiz F. ↓, Sacramento dos Santos G. ↑,
- 87', Carraco D. ↓, Azemi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neuchâtel Xamax 27.5% | Draw 25.3% | Lausanne Ouchy 47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Lausanne Ouchy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lausanne Ouchy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lausanne Ouchy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Neuchâtel Xamax - Lausanne Ouchy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.36 ↓ (3.95) |
3.64 ↓ (3.83) |
1.96 ↑ (1.74) |
8.3% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Neuchâtel Xamax - Lausanne Ouchy?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 1.
- Recent performances by Xamax have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lausanne Ouchy is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lausanne Ouchy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Xamax has had a series of home games.
- Lausanne Ouchy will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Xamax: Bergsma L.
(Injury)
Krasniqi J.
(Inactive)
Mulaj L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lausanne Ouchy: Kadima R.
(Injury)
Nkama J.
(Yellow Cards)
Noverraz N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Lausanne Ouchy?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lausanne Ouchy won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Lausanne Ouchy has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Lausanne Ouchy were as follows:
10.12.2025
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
3:0
03.10.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Lausanne Ouchy
0:2
18.04.2025
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
0:0
24.01.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Lausanne Ouchy
1:2
29.11.2024
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
1:2
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Latest results of Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Aarau | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 43:30 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Xamax | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:34 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Wil | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 8 | Stade Nyonnais | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:41 | -21 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League