Lausanne-Sport vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:0
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
belgiumBelgiumVOOsport World 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.48
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
80% (351/439)86% (428/500)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.46
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
76
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
3316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
80% (351/439)86% (428/500)
Long passes
38% (22/58)57% (30/53)
Passes in final third
66% (78/118)69% (70/102)
Crosses
28% (5/18)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.64
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1115
Tackles
40% (8/20)64% (9/14)
Duels won
6046
Clearances
2924
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.461.42
Goals prevented
0.460.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Kouame C. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Sigua G. ⚽, Kana-Biyik E. (A),
  • 70', Richardson A. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
  • 70', Piccoli R. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
  • 70', Dzeko E. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
  • 70', Kana-Biyik E. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
  • 70', Sigua G. ↓, Custodio O. ↑,
  • 73', Kean M. 🟨,
  • 79', Butler-Oyedeji N. ↓, Poaty M. ↑,
  • 83', Kouadio E. ↓, Dodo ↑,
  • 85', Fortini N. 🟨,
  • 86', Fofana S. ↓, Abdallah H. ↑,
  • 90', Lekoueiry B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lausanne-Sport
25.9%		Draw
25.3%		Fiorentina
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.1% 19.7% 64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5% 19% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lausanne-Sport's performance.
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiorentina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lausanne-Sport that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+17.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.69 ↓
    (6.03)    		 3.77 ↓
    (4.93)    		 1.94 ↑
    (1.51)    		 5.3%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 26 - 51%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 19 - 37.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 37.3% – 64.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Fiorentina (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Lausanne-Sport (1.68) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Lausanne-Sport (3.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Lausanne-Sport (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Lausanne-Sport (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Lausanne-Sport (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 33 high ROI users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 21 - 63.6%). Fiorentina (votes: 12 - 36.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Lausanne-Sport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fiorentina has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Fiorentina is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Al Saad M. (Foot Injury) Beloko N. (Muscle Injury) Bruchez E. (Injury) Diakite G. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Ndour C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Lausanne-Sport: Custodio O. (Inactive)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
    14.12.2025 Basel - Lausanne-Sport 0:0 ✺
    11.12.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Lausanne-Sport 0:0 ✺
    07.12.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 0:0 ✺
    03.12.2025 Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport 2:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Thun 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    14.12.2025 Fiorentina - Verona 1:2 ✺
    11.12.2025 Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 3:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Atalanta - Fiorentina 2:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Fiorentina - AEK Athens 0:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 2
    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye
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