Result
1:2
20/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 62% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 54% (37/69) | 59% (50/85) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 40% (21/52) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 67% (16/24) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 41% (35/85) | 46% (32/69) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 60% (31/52) | 51% (19/37) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 47% (7/15) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 35 | 39 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 56 | 48 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 71% (22/31) | 76% (13/17) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (55/105) | 52% (71/137) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (66/137) | 48% (50/105) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (121/242) | 50% (121/242) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 50% (8/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 44% (7/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 47% (15/32) |
Chances of winning
Juan Manuel La Serna
30.6% | Lautaro Midon
69.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Juan Manuel La Serna - Lautaro Midon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.2) |
|
1.35 ↑
(1.3) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
Preview Facts
- La Serna is ranked ATP: 360. Midon is ranked ATP: 226.
- In recent matches, La Serna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Midon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Midon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Midon is the team to beat.
- We predict that Midon will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Serna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Manuel La Serna won against Lautaro Midon?
Juan Manuel La Serna has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lautaro Midon won against Juan Manuel La Serna?
Lautaro Midon has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Manuel La Serna - Lautaro Midon were as follows:
28.11.2025
Lautaro Midon
-
Juan Manuel La Serna
2:1
20.06.2025
Lautaro Midon
-
Juan Manuel La Serna
1:2
23.03.2024
Lautaro Midon
-
Juan Manuel La Serna
2:0
Latest results of Juan Manuel La Serna
Latest results of Lautaro Midon
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Guillen Meza A. (1) | Varillas J. P. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Zanellato N. (Q) | La Serna J. M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Zarate C. M. (WC) | Damas M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Pagani D. (WC) | Midon L. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (4) | Palosi S. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Sakamoto P. | Sanchez Jover C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Schiessl J. E. (Q) | Villanueva G. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cadenasso G. | Kicker N. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Agamenone F. (7) | Justo G. I. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Diaz Acosta F. | Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Fernandez B. (Q) | Dellien Velasco M. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Ambrogi L. E. (RET.) (Alt) | Olivieri G. A. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Collarini A. (6) | Ratti L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Torres J. B. | Kestelboim M. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Zeitune M. (Q) | Roncadelli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Dutra Da Silva D. | Bueno G. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Guillen Meza A. (1) | La Serna J. M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Zarate C. M. | Midon L. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Palosi S. | Sanchez Jover C. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Villanueva G. | Kicker N. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Justo G. I. | Diaz Acosta F. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Fernandez B. | Olivieri G. A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Collarini A. (6) | Torres J. B. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Roncadelli F. | Bueno G. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | La Serna J. M. | Midon L. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Sanchez Jover C. | Villanueva G. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Justo G. I. | Fernandez B. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Collarini A. (6) | Bueno G. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Midon L. (5) | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Justo G. I. | Bueno G. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Midon L. (5) | Justo G. I. | 1 : 2 |
