Lautaro Midon vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/04/2026 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
61%52%
1st serve points won
65% (35/54)66% (37/56)
2nd serve points won
59% (20/34)45% (23/51)
Break Points Saved
6/104/8
1st return points won
34% (19/56)35% (19/54)
2nd return points won
55% (28/51)41% (14/34)
Break Points Converted
4/84/10
Winners
2116
Unforced errors
4555
Net points won
67% (12/18)62% (13/21)
Service Points Won
63% (55/88)56% (60/107)
Return Points Won
44% (47/107)38% (33/88)
Total Points Won
52% (102/195)48% (93/195)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
10
Service games won
73% (11/15)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)27% (4/15)
Total games won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Lautaro Midon
60%
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lautaro Midon's performance.
  • Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lautaro Midon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.72)

    2.33
    (2.02)
    7.2%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ambrogi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Midon is ranked ATP: 223. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 387.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ambrogi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Midon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Lautaro Midon 1:2
    28.02.2025 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Lautaro Midon 0:2
    15.04.2024 Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 2:0
    31.03.2024 Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 2:0
    11.11.2023 Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 1:2
    Latest results of Lautaro Midon