Lautaro Midon vs Pedro Martinez Portero – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
09/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
portugalPortugalSport TV6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
56%69%
1st serve points won
54% (20/37)81% (30/37)
2nd serve points won
45% (13/29)29% (5/17)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)80% (4/5)
1st return points won
19% (7/37)46% (17/37)
2nd return points won
71% (12/17)55% (16/29)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)45% (5/11)
Winners
1124
Unforced errors
2727
Net points won
50% (4/8)88% (15/17)
Service Points Won
50% (33/66)65% (35/54)
Return Points Won
35% (19/54)50% (33/66)
Total Points Won
43% (52/120)57% (68/120)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
44% (4/9)88% (7/8)
Return games won
13% (1/8)56% (5/9)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Lautaro Midon
46.6%
Pedro Martinez Portero
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 60.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lautaro Midon's performance.
  • Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lautaro Midon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lautaro Midon - Pedro Martinez Portero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.98)

    1.78
    (1.4)
    5.5%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Lautaro Midon - Pedro Martinez Portero?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Midon: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Midon (votes: 4 - 40%). Martinez Portero (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Midon is ranked ATP: 231. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 77.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Midon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Martinez Portero could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Dzumhur D.Dellien H. (Q)0 : 2
    3Barrena A. (WC)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    4Coria F. (WC)Berrettini M. (8)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Bye
    6Diaz Acosta F. (WC)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Djere L.2 : 0
    8Pellegrino A. (Q)Etcheverry T. M. (7)0 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Comesana F.2 : 0
    10Navone M.Nava E.2 : 0
    11Buse I.Passaro F. (Q)2 : 1
    12ByeBaez S. (4)
    13Altmaier D. (5)Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    14Midon L. (Q)Martinez P.0 : 2
    15Barrios Vera T.Seyboth Wild T. (RET.) (LL)0 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dellien H.2 : 0
    2Kopriva V.Berrettini M. (8)2 : 0
    3Fonseca J. (3)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    4Burruchaga R. A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)1 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Navone M.2 : 0
    6Buse I.Baez S. (4)0 : 2
    7Cerundolo J. M.Martinez P.0 : 2
    8Barrios Vera T.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    2Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)1 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Baez S. (4)0 : 2
    4Martinez P.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Etcheverry T. M. (7)2 : 0
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (2)2 : 0