Result
1:0
04/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Coppa Italia - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sports 2 |
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Asia | MBC Action |
Australia | Paramount+ |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Colombia | Win Sports |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | See, Sport Live, V Sport Ultra |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Indonesia | ANTV |
Israel | ONE Sport 2, Sport 4 |
Italy | 20 Mediaset, Infinity+, Italia 1 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Qazsport, Sport+ |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1 |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | FOX One |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Slovakia | Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Spain | DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
Turkey | Tabii, TRT Spor |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (396/459) | 89% (577/646) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (396/459) | 89% (577/646) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 71% (39/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (60/88) | 70% (83/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 54% (7/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Vecino M. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
- 58', Castellanos T. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
- 64', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
- 71', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Tavares N. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 0, Zaccagni M. ⚽, Tavares N. (A),
- 81', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
- 81', Jashari A. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
- 83', Zaccagni M. ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 83', Isaksen G. ↓, Cancellieri M. ↑,
- 84', De Winter K. 🟨,
- 87', Estupinan P. ↓, Bartesaghi D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lazio 28.3% | Draw 31.1% | Milan 40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lazio - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.35 ↑ (3.18) |
3.04 ↓ (3.48) |
2.34 ↑ (2.24) |
5.4% (4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lazio - Milan?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). Milan will win (votes: 26 - 70.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 55.6% – 85%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1.
- Lazio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Milan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Milan could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Lazio: Cancellieri M.
(Muscle Injury)
Cataldi D.
(Injury)
Gigot S.
(Ankle Injury)
Hysaj E.
(Inactive)
Rovella N.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Milan: Fofana Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Milan: Athekame Z.
(Muscle Injury)
Gimenez S.
(Ankle Injury)
Pulisic C.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Milan?
Lazio has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Lazio?
Milan has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Milan were as follows:
29.11.2025
Milan
-
Lazio
1:0
02.03.2025
Milan
-
Lazio
1:2
31.08.2024
Lazio
-
Milan
2:2
01.03.2024
Lazio
-
Milan
0:1
30.09.2023
Milan
-
Lazio
2:0
Draw
2025/261/64-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 5 | Parma | Bye | |
| 6 | Pescara | Rimini | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Spezia | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Sampdoria | |
| 9 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 13 | AC Milan | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Bari | |
| 15 | Lecce | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Juve Stabia | |
| 17 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 21 | Empoli | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Reggiana | |
| 23 | Genoa | Bye | |
| 24 | Padova | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 29 | Udinese | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Carrarese | |
| 31 | Cremonese | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Palermo | |
| 33 | Inter | Bye | |
| 37 | Audace Cerignola | Avellino | 1 : 0 |
| 38 | Verona | Bye | |
| 39 | Venezia | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Mantova | |
| 41 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 45 | Torino | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Modena | |
| 47 | Pisa | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Cesena | |
| 49 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 53 | Monza | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Frosinone | |
| 55 | Cagliari | Bye | |
| 56 | Entella | Ternana | 4 : 0 |
| 57 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 61 | Como | Bye | |
| 62 | Bye | Sudtirol | |
| 63 | Sassuolo | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Catanzaro | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 3 | Parma | Pescara | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Spezia | Sampdoria | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 7 | AC Milan | Bari | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Lecce | Juve Stabia | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 11 | Empoli | Reggiana | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Genoa | L.R. Vicenza | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 15 | Udinese | Carrarese | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Cremonese | Palermo | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Inter | Bye | |
| 19 | Audace Cerignola | Verona | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Venezia | Mantova | 4 : 0 |
| 21 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 23 | Torino | Modena | 1 : 0 |
| 24 | Pisa | Cesena | 1 : 0 |
| 25 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 27 | Monza | Frosinone | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Cagliari | Entella | 2 : 1 |
| 29 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 31 | Como | Sudtirol | 3 : 1 |
| 32 | Sassuolo | Catanzaro | 1 : 0 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 2 | Parma | Spezia | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 4 | AC Milan | Lecce | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 6 | Empoli | Genoa | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 8 | Udinese | Palermo | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Inter | Bye | |
| 10 | Verona | Venezia | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 12 | Torino | Pisa | 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 14 | Frosinone | Cagliari | 1 : 4 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 16 | Como | Sassuolo | 3 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Bologna | Parma | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lazio | AC Milan | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta | Genoa | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Juventus | Udinese | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Inter | Venezia | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | AS Roma | Torino | |
| 7 | Napoli | Cagliari | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | Como | |
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