Lazio vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Olimpico (Rome).

Serie A - Round 29
Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	Persiana Sports
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.42	1.20
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
7	17
Shots on target
2	3
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	9
Passes
85% (346/409)	89% (503/564)
Yellow cards
4	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.42	1.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.43	0.76
Total shots
7	17
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
2	8
Blocked shots
3	6
Shots inside the box
2	12
Shots outside the box
5	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	9
Touches in opposition box
16	41
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	4
Free kicks
19	7
Passes
85% (346/409)	89% (503/564)
Long passes
47% (25/53)	67% (26/39)
Passes in final third
66% (57/87)	78% (123/158)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	28% (9/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.30	1.67
Throw ins
12	22
Fouls
7	19
Tackles
81% (13/16)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
49	35
Clearances
33	15
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.76	0.43
Goals prevented
0.76	-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Isaksen G. ⚽, Marusic A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Estupinan P. 🟨,
57', Estupinan P. ↓, Bartesaghi D. ↑,
57', Tomori F. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
66', Leao R. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
66', Fofana Y. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
67', Maldini D. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
67', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
70', Motta E. 🟨,
81', Tavares N. 🟨,
83', Zaccagni M. ↓, Cancellieri M. ↑,
85', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
90', Taylor K. ↓, Belahyane R. ↑,
90+5', Pedro 🟨,
90+5', Patric 🟨,
90+8', Sarri M. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Lazio
21.6%

Draw
27.4%

Milan
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

28.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

27.6%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Lazio - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (3.77)	3.5 ↑ (3.34)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)	4% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Lazio - Milan?

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 7 - 11.1%). Milan will win (votes: 49 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 67.5% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Lazio (1.94) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Lazio (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.5 - Lazio (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Lazio (3.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Milan (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 9 - 31%). Milan (votes: 20 - 69%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 2.
In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Milan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Milan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Milan is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Lazio: Cataldi D. (Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Provedel I. (Shoulder Injury) Rovella N. (Injury)
There will not play in Milan: Gabbia M. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Broken jawbone) Rabiot A. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Lazio: Basic T. (Injury) Romagnoli A. (Calf Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Milan?

Lazio has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Lazio?

Milan has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Milan were as follows:

04.12.2025 Lazio - Milan 1:0

29.11.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:0

02.03.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:2

31.08.2024 Lazio - Milan 2:2

01.03.2024 Lazio - Milan 0:1

Latest results of Lazio

09.03.2026 Lazio - Sassuolo 2:1 ✺

04.03.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 2:2 ✺

01.03.2026 Torino - Lazio 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Cagliari - Lazio 0:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Milan

08.03.2026 Milan - Inter Milan 1:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Cremonese - Milan 0:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Milan - Parma 0:1 ✺

18.02.2026 Milan - Como 1:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Pisa - Milan 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	29	22	2	5	65:23	42	68
2	AC Milan	29	17	9	3	44:21	23	60
3	Napoli	29	18	5	6	45:30	15	59
4	Como	29	15	9	5	48:22	26	54
5	Juventus	29	15	8	6	51:28	23	53
6	AS Roma	29	16	3	10	39:23	16	51
7	Atalanta	29	12	11	6	40:27	13	47
8	Bologna	29	12	6	11	38:34	4	42
9	Lazio	29	10	10	9	29:28	1	40
10	Sassuolo	29	11	5	13	35:39	-4	38
11	Udinese	29	10	6	13	33:42	-9	36
12	Parma	29	8	10	11	21:36	-15	34
13	Genoa	29	8	9	12	36:40	-4	33
14	Torino	29	9	6	14	32:50	-18	33
15	Cagliari	29	7	9	13	31:41	-10	30
16	Fiorentina	29	6	10	13	34:43	-9	28
17	Lecce	29	7	6	16	21:39	-18	27
18	Cremonese	29	5	9	15	23:44	-21	24
19	Pisa	29	2	12	15	23:49	-26	18
20	Verona	29	3	9	17	22:51	-29	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B