Lazio vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coppa Italia - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaParamount+
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDirecTV Sports
colombiaColombiaWin Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkSee, Sport Live, V Sport Ultra
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hungaryHungaryArena 4
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV
israelIsraelONE Sport 2, Sport 4
italyItaly20 Mediaset, Infinity+, Italia 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport, Sport+
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenSport Bladet Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 5
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.83
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
86% (396/459)89% (577/646)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.090.32
Total shots
119
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
168
Passes
86% (396/459)89% (577/646)
Long passes
55% (24/44)71% (39/55)
Passes in final third
68% (60/88)70% (83/118)
Crosses
20% (3/15)54% (7/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.17
Throw-ins
1019
Fouls
816
Tackles
47% (8/17)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
1926
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.321.09
Goals prevented
0.320.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Vecino M. , Dele-Bashiru F. ,
  • 58', Castellanos T. , Noslin T. ,
  • 64', Saelemaekers A. , Nkunku C. ,
  • 71', Pellegrini Lu. , Tavares N. ,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Zaccagni M. , Tavares N. (A),
  • 81', Loftus-Cheek R. , Pulisic C. ,
  • 81', Jashari A. , Modric L. ,
  • 83', Zaccagni M. , Pedro ,
  • 83', Isaksen G. , Cancellieri M. ,
  • 84', De Winter K. 🟨,
  • 87', Estupinan P. , Bartesaghi D. ,

Chances of winning


Lazio
28.3%
Draw
31.1%
Milan
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 27.4% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 27.4% 42.6%

Lazio - Milan Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.35
(3.18)
3.04
(3.48)
2.34
(2.24)
5.4%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lazio - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). Milan will win (votes: 26 - 70.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 55.6%85%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1.
    • Lazio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Milan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Milan could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Lazio: Cancellieri M. (Muscle Injury) Cataldi D. (Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Hysaj E. (Inactive) Rovella N. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Fofana Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Athekame Z. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Pulisic C. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Milan were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:0
    02.03.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:2
    31.08.2024 Lazio - Milan 2:2
    01.03.2024 Lazio - Milan 0:1
    30.09.2023 Milan - Lazio 2:0
    Latest results of Lazio
    29.11.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:0
    23.11.2025 Lazio - Lecce 2:0
    09.11.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:0
    03.11.2025 Lazio - Cagliari 2:0
    30.10.2025 Pisa - Lazio 0:0
    Latest results of Milan
    29.11.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:0
    23.11.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 0:1
    08.11.2025 Parma - Milan 2:2
    02.11.2025 Milan - Roma 1:0
    28.10.2025 Atalanta - Milan 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1BolognaBye
    5ParmaBye
    6PescaraRimini1 : 0
    7SpeziaBye
    8ByeSampdoria
    9LazioBye
    13AC MilanBye
    14ByeBari
    15LecceBye
    16ByeJuve Stabia
    17AtalantaBye
    21EmpoliBye
    22ByeReggiana
    23GenoaBye
    24PadovaL.R. Vicenza0 : 2
    25JuventusBye
    29UdineseBye
    30ByeCarrarese
    31CremoneseBye
    32ByePalermo
    33InterBye
    37Audace CerignolaAvellino1 : 0
    38VeronaBye
    39VeneziaBye
    40ByeMantova
    41AS RomaBye
    45TorinoBye
    46ByeModena
    47PisaBye
    48ByeCesena
    49NapoliBye
    53MonzaBye
    54ByeFrosinone
    55CagliariBye
    56EntellaTernana4 : 0
    57FiorentinaBye
    61ComoBye
    62ByeSudtirol
    63SassuoloBye
    64ByeCatanzaro

    1/32-finals
    1BolognaBye
    3ParmaPescara2 : 0
    4SpeziaSampdoria2 : 1
    5LazioBye
    7AC MilanBari2 : 0
    8LecceJuve Stabia2 : 0
    9AtalantaBye
    11EmpoliReggiana2 : 1
    12GenoaL.R. Vicenza3 : 0
    13JuventusBye
    15UdineseCarrarese2 : 0
    16CremonesePalermo0 : 1
    17InterBye
    19Audace CerignolaVerona1 : 2
    20VeneziaMantova4 : 0
    21AS RomaBye
    23TorinoModena1 : 0
    24PisaCesena1 : 0
    25NapoliBye
    27MonzaFrosinone0 : 1
    28CagliariEntella2 : 1
    29FiorentinaBye
    31ComoSudtirol3 : 1
    32SassuoloCatanzaro1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1BolognaBye
    2ParmaSpezia3 : 2
    3LazioBye
    4AC MilanLecce3 : 0
    5AtalantaBye
    6EmpoliGenoa1 : 3
    7JuventusBye
    8UdinesePalermo2 : 1
    9InterBye
    10VeronaVenezia0 : 1
    11AS RomaBye
    12TorinoPisa1 : 0
    13NapoliBye
    14FrosinoneCagliari1 : 4
    15FiorentinaBye
    16ComoSassuolo3 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1BolognaParma2 : 1
    2LazioAC Milan1 : 0
    3AtalantaGenoa4 : 0
    4JuventusUdinese2 : 0
    5InterVenezia5 : 1
    6AS RomaTorino
    7NapoliCagliari2 : 1
    8FiorentinaComo

    Quarter-finals
    1BolognaLazio
    2AtalantaJuventus
    3InterTBD #6
    4NapoliTBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2