Deportivo Táchira vs LDU Quito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.521.59
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
398
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
91% (523/574)68% (131/194)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
4.521.59
xG on target (xGOT)
3.471.98
Total shots
398
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
225
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
184
Shots outside the Box
214
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
428
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
62
Passes
91% (523/574)68% (131/194)
Long passes
71% (37/52)35% (22/63)
Passes in final third
85% (182/214)45% (24/53)
Crosses
27% (15/56)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
4.240.19
Throw-ins
2614
Fouls
26
Tackles
68% (13/19)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5146
Clearances
352
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
1.983.47
Goals prevented
-1.021.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', Aimar D. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Alzugaray L. , Ramirez Leon B. J. (A),
  • 19', 0 - 2, Arce A. , Ramirez Leon B. J. (A),
  • 21', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟥,
  • 21', Castillo B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Ortiz J. , Cano L. ,
  • 54', 0 - 3, Arce A. , Gruezo C. (A),
  • 58', Alzugaray L. , Quintero J. ,
  • 60', Requena J. , Fioravanti L. ,
  • 60', Saggiomo D. , Castillo J. ,
  • 67', 1 - 3, Hernandez N. ,
  • 69', Sosa C. , Duarte Arias J. D. ,
  • 69', Arce A. , Estrada M. ,
  • 77', Gruezo C. 🟨,
  • 77', Cova M. , Diaz D. ,
  • 82', de la Cruz D. I. , Villamil G. ,
  • 83', Cornejo F. , Erique Villigua Y. H. ,
  • 88', Minda K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Castillo B. , Hernandez N. (A),
  • 90+6', Villamil G. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Vivas C. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Táchira
33.5%
Draw
31.9%
LDU Quito
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 27.9% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 27.6% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Táchira's performance.
  • LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Táchira that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Táchira - LDU Quito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (3.84)
    2.97
    (3.39)
    2.72
    (2)
    5.5%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Táchira - LDU Quito?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 3 - 25%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 21.7%78.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Táchira (votes: 4 - 50%). LDU Quito (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Deportivo Táchira (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Táchira (votes: 6 - 60%). LDU Quito (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Deportivo Táchira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Deportivo Táchira has had a series of away games.
    • LDU Quito might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Deportivo Táchira: Balza J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in LDU Quito: Dominguez A. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Deportivo Táchira: Acevedo L. (Knee Injury) Castillo J. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Táchira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Táchira - LDU Quito were as follows:
    09.04.2025 LDU Quito - Deportivo Táchira 2:0
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    03.05.2025 LDU Quito - El Nacional 2:2
    26.04.2025 Manta - LDU Quito 1:1
    22.04.2025 LDU Quito - Flamengo 0:0
    18.04.2025 LDU Quito - SD Aucas 3:1
    14.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito 1:0
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin20112:5-31
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians22004:046
    2Platense32014:406
    3Penarol20112:3-11
    4Santa Fe30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)