Result
1:1
19/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 13
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (392/451) | 80% (253/315) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (392/451) | 80% (253/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (27/44) | 53% (31/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (84/114) | 71% (79/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 19% (6/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Bolanos D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ayovi W. ↓, Quinonez Y. ↑,
- 46', Cornejo F. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
- 46', Pastran L. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Ramirez Leon B. J. ⚽, Gruezo C. (A),
- 57', Alvarado A. 🟨,
- 59', Verges J. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 59', Caicedo N. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Quinonez A. ⚽, Zambrano I. (A),
- 64', Montano J. 🟨,
- 70', Mina R. ↓, Allala Menendez G. F. ↑,
- 70', Gruezo C. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 70', Alvarado A. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
- 80', Montano J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 90+7', Quinonez Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito
66.6% | Draw
20.5% | Libertad Loja
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
LDU Quito - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39
(1.39) |
4.55 ↓
(4.76) |
7.15 ↑
(7.12) |
7.9%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Libertad Loja?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 50%). Libertad (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, LDU Quito has had a series of away games.
- In this match, LDU Quito is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Libertad Loja?
LDU Quito has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against LDU Quito?
Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Libertad Loja were as follows:
25.08.2024
LDU Quito
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
30.04.2024
Libertad Loja
-
LDU Quito
2:3
12.11.2023
Libertad Loja
-
LDU Quito
0:2
02.06.2023
LDU Quito
-
Libertad Loja
4:2
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
