Libertad Loja vs LDU Quito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 3
  • Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chileChileZapping Sports
ecuadorEcuadorTeleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.851.36
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
63
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
24
Passes
73% (200/273)70% (192/275)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
0.851.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.97
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
26
Free kicks
88
Passes
73% (200/273)70% (192/275)
Long passes
31% (19/61)33% (16/49)
Passes in final third
58% (56/97)51% (44/87)
Crosses
29% (2/7)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.99
Throw ins
1325
Fouls
88
Tackles
100% (7/7)75% (6/8)
Duels won
2733
Clearances
3316
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.440.86
Goals prevented
0.44-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Deyverson (Penalty Awarded),
  • 33', Corozo B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Bueno S. , Branda V. ,
  • 46', Bravo J. , Cortez Casierra G. J. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Cortez Casierra G. J. , Chere A. (A),
  • 61', Pretell J. 🟨,
  • 63', Villamil G. 🟨,
  • 64', Quinonez Y. 🟨,
  • 69', Quinonez Y. , Redes R. ,
  • 69', Allala Menendez G. F. , Mina R. ,
  • 69', Luna Tobar C. , Alvarado A. ,
  • 77', Quinonez L. 🟨,
  • 79', Garcia A. , Gruezo C. ,
  • 79', Villamil G. , Minda K. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Corozo B. , Cortez Casierra G. J. (A),
  • 82', Pretell J. , Medina J. ,
  • 83', Corozo B. , Valencia C. ,
  • 88', Guisamano J. , Lucas M. ,

Chances of winning


Libertad Loja
23.1%
Draw
25.3%
LDU Quito
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.1% 28% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Libertad Loja have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Libertad Loja - LDU Quito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.97
    (4.04)
    3.63
    (3.33)
    1.81
    (1.91)
    8.1%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - LDU Quito?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - LDU Quito (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: LDU Quito will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.
    • LDU Quito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, LDU Quito is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - LDU Quito were as follows:
    14.12.2025 Libertad Loja - LDU Quito 2:1
    08.11.2025 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 3:1
    12.09.2025 Libertad Loja - LDU Quito 0:1
    19.05.2025 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 1:1
    25.08.2024 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 3:0
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle43109:3610
    2Macara52304:139
    3U. Catolica42205:148
    4Libertad52215:418
    5Barcelona SC52213:218
    6LDU Quito52126:607
    7Dep. Cuenca52124:407
    8Delfin52123:307
    9Tecnico U41214:405
    10Guayaquil City51222:4-25
    11Manta51132:5-34
    12Aucas40314:5-13
    13Mushuc Runa40312:4-23
    14Leones del Norte50322:7-53
    15Orense40224:6-22
    16Emelec31113:301

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