LDU Quito vs Libertad Loja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro LDU Quito - Libertad Loja
Result
1:1
19/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 13
  • Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.77
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
414
Passes
87% (392/451)80% (253/315)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.13
Total shots
159
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
115
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
414
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
108
Passes
87% (392/451)80% (253/315)
Long passes
61% (27/44)53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
74% (84/114)71% (79/111)
Crosses
21% (4/19)19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.83
Throw-ins
1218
Fouls
810
Tackles
88% (15/17)67% (14/21)
Duels won
5041
Clearances
2321
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.130.85
Goals prevented
-0.87-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Bolanos D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ayovi W. , Quinonez Y. ,
  • 46', Cornejo F. , Alzugaray L. ,
  • 46', Pastran L. , Estrada M. ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Ramirez Leon B. J. , Gruezo C. (A),
  • 57', Alvarado A. 🟨,
  • 59', Verges J. , Avila D. ,
  • 59', Caicedo N. , Quinonez A. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Quinonez A. , Zambrano I. (A),
  • 64', Montano J. 🟨,
  • 70', Mina R. , Allala Menendez G. F. ,
  • 70', Gruezo C. , Minda K. ,
  • 70', Alvarado A. , Villamil G. ,
  • 80', Montano J. , Humanante J. ,
  • 90+7', Quinonez Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


LDU Quito
66.6%
Draw
20.5%
Libertad Loja
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.2% 19.6% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 18.8% 12.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • LDU Quito - Libertad Loja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.39)
    4.55
    (4.76)
    7.15
    (7.12)
    7.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Libertad Loja?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 50%). Libertad (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, LDU Quito has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, LDU Quito is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Libertad Loja were as follows:
    25.08.2024 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 3:0
    30.04.2024 Libertad Loja - LDU Quito 2:3
    12.11.2023 Libertad Loja - LDU Quito 0:2
    02.06.2023 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 4:2
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    15.05.2025 Flamengo - LDU Quito 2:0
    03.05.2025 LDU Quito - El Nacional 2:2
    26.04.2025 Manta - LDU Quito 1:1
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2Barcelona SC21115533:25838
    3LDU Quito21107437:211637
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Libertad2196631:26533
    7Aucas2195728:26232
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2158827:34-723
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )