Result
2:1
14/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 9
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (336/401) | 81% (287/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (336/401) | 81% (287/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (115/150) | 62% (64/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽, Quintero J. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Arboleda C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 28', Quinonez L. 🟥,
- 33', Alzugaray L. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
- 38', 2 - 1, Quinonez O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Estrada M. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 46', Cornejo F. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
- 46', Biojo R. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 61', Villamil G. 🟨,
- 70', Allala Menendez G. F. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
- 72', Caicedo E. 🟨,
- 73', Caicedo E. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 73', Ayovi W. ↓, Bolanos D. ↑,
- 85', Gruezo C. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 88', Arboleda C. ↓, Bueno Quinonez S. ↑,
- 90+4', Quinonez O. 🟨,
- 90+6', Quinonez O. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
17% | Draw
23% | LDU Quito
60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)The ML Model estimate for Libertad Loja aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Libertad Loja - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.35 ↑
(5.28) |
4.02 ↑
(3.93) |
1.54 ↓
(1.56) |
8.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0.
- Libertad is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- LDU Quito has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, LDU Quito is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.9:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against LDU Quito?
Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Libertad Loja?
LDU Quito has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - LDU Quito were as follows:
08.11.2025
LDU Quito
-
Libertad Loja
3:1
12.09.2025
Libertad Loja
-
LDU Quito
0:1
19.05.2025
LDU Quito
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
25.08.2024
LDU Quito
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
30.04.2024
Libertad Loja
-
LDU Quito
2:3
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Delfin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Libertad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aucas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mushuc Runa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | U. Catolica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Emelec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Orense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Manta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Guayaquil City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
