Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 28
- Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 0% | 0% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Gruezo C. ⚽, Quinonez L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Arboleda C. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 46', Bravo J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 60', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
- 67', Biojo R. 🟨,
- 70', Ayovi W. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 70', Caicedo E. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 74', Mina R. ↓, Ade R. ↑,
- 74', Estrada M. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
- 86', Cornejo F. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 86', Alzugaray L. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 90+4', Becerra K. 🟥,
- 90+4', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Cuero Mercado J. W. ↑,
- 90+6', Avila D. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
23.5% | Draw
25.7% | LDU Quito
50.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Libertad Loja - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.96 ↓
(4.7) |
3.6 ↓
(4.03) |
1.82 ↑
(1.61) |
7.8%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - LDU Quito?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 50%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, LDU Quito is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 1:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against LDU Quito?
Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Libertad Loja?
LDU Quito has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - LDU Quito were as follows:
19.05.2025
LDU Quito
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
25.08.2024
LDU Quito
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
30.04.2024
Libertad Loja
-
LDU Quito
2:3
12.11.2023
Libertad Loja
-
LDU Quito
0:2
02.06.2023
LDU Quito
-
Libertad Loja
4:2
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
