Result
1:3
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 30
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (348/414) | 75% (208/276) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (348/414) | 75% (208/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 46% (33/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (129/172) | 57% (34/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (15/48) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 100% (12/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.72 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Villamil G. ⚽, Cuero Mercado J. W. (A),
- 28', Mina R. 🟨,
- 43', Torres E. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Estrada M. ⚽, Mina R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Cuero Mercado J. W. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
- 46', Perez M. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 3, Estrada M. ⚽,
- 56', Estrada M. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 3, Carabali E. ⚽, Perea M. (A),
- 67', Alzugaray L. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
- 67', Estrada M. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 77', Villamil G. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
- 77', Erique Villigua Y. H. ↓, Allala Menendez G. F. ↑,
- 87', Quintero J. 🟨,
- 88', Torres E. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
- 88', Perea M. ↓, Andrade J. ↑,
- 90+1', Minda T. ↓, Norona M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Técnico Universitario
27.8% | Draw
29.3% | LDU Quito
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(3.25) |
3.16 ↓
(3.25) |
2.19 ↑
(2.15) |
7.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Técnico Univ (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
LDU Quito will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): LDU Quito will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Técnico Univ (votes: 2 - 40%). LDU Quito (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 0.
- Técnico Univ has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- LDU Quito is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Técnico Univ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Técnico Univ has had a series of away games.
- LDU Quito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:38. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against LDU Quito?
Técnico Universitario has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Técnico Universitario?
LDU Quito has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito were as follows:
31.05.2025
LDU Quito
-
Técnico Universitario
3:2
19.10.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
LDU Quito
1:2
27.04.2024
LDU Quito
-
Técnico Universitario
1:0
08.11.2023
Técnico Universitario
-
LDU Quito
0:2
19.05.2023
LDU Quito
-
Técnico Universitario
2:1
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Delfin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Libertad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aucas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mushuc Runa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | U. Catolica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Emelec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Orense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Manta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Guayaquil City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
