Auxerre vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Auxerre - Le Havre
Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 3, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.54
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
411
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
09
Passes
80% (311/387)85% (361/425)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.682.10
Total shots
411
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
09
Touches in opposition box
819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
80% (311/387)85% (361/425)
Long passes
38% (18/48)42% (15/36)
Passes in final third
62% (64/103)67% (61/91)
Crosses
38% (3/8)25% (7/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.05
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
1110
Tackles
64% (7/11)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3646
Clearances
2328
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.100.68
Goals prevented
1.10-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Akpa C. 🟨,
  • 43', Koka , Ayew A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 62', 1 - 0, Sinayoko L. , Perrin G. (A),
  • 70', Ballo-Toure F. , Pembele T. ,
  • 70', Kechta Y. , Zouaoui Y. ,
  • 73', Onaiwu A. , Aye F. ,
  • 73', Joly P. , Hoever K. ,
  • 74', Diousse A. , Matondo R. ,
  • 75', Hoever K. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Jubal Junior (Own goal),
  • 80', Oppegard F. , Mensah G. ,
  • 84', Casimir J. 🟨,
  • 89', Akpa C. , Bair T. ,
  • 90', Casimir J. , Diawara M. ,
  • 90', Toure A. , Ndiaye R. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Sangante A. , Mwanga J. (A),

Chances of winning


Auxerre
42.6%
Draw
26.8%
Le Havre
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 26.7% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 26.4% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Auxerre - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.03)
    3.57
    (3.56)
    3.11
    (3.6)
    4.7%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Auxerre - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Le Havre will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 30%70%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Auxerre could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Knee Injury) Danois K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Housni I. (Ankle Injury) Kitala Y. (Ankle Injury) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Auxerre: Osho G. (Injury) Owusu E. (Inactive) Traore H. J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Lloris G. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Le Havre were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Le Havre - Auxerre 3:1
    Latest results of Auxerre
    27.04.2025 Lens - Auxerre 0:4
    20.04.2025 Lille - Auxerre 3:1
    13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3
    06.04.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 0:1
    30.03.2025 Auxerre - Montpellier 1:0
    Latest results of Le Havre
    26.04.2025 Le Havre - Monaco 1:1
    13.04.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 1:5
    06.04.2025 Montpellier - Le Havre 0:2
    30.03.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 3:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2