Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN 3, DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.24 | 1.54 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
4 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
80% (311/387) | 85% (361/425) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.24 | 1.54 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.68 | 2.10 |
Total shots |
---|
4 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
8 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
80% (311/387) | 85% (361/425) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (18/48) | 42% (15/36) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (64/103) | 67% (61/91) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (3/8) | 25% (7/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.59 | 1.05 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (7/11) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.10 | 0.68 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.10 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Akpa C. 🟨,
- 43', Koka ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 62', 1 - 0, Sinayoko L. ⚽, Perrin G. (A),
- 70', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
- 70', Kechta Y. ↓, Zouaoui Y. ↑,
- 73', Onaiwu A. ↓, Aye F. ↑,
- 73', Joly P. ↓, Hoever K. ↑,
- 74', Diousse A. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
- 75', Hoever K. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 1, Jubal Junior (Own goal),
- 80', Oppegard F. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
- 84', Casimir J. 🟨,
- 89', Akpa C. ↓, Bair T. ↑,
- 90', Casimir J. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
- 90', Toure A. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Sangante A. ⚽, Mwanga J. (A),
Chances of winning
Auxerre 42.6% | Draw 26.8% | Le Havre 30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Auxerre - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↑ (2.03) |
3.57 ↑ (3.56) |
3.11 ↓ (3.6) |
4.7% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Le Havre will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 30% – 70%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Auxerre could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Knee Injury)
Danois K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Le Havre: Housni I.
(Ankle Injury)
Kitala Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Logbo A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mosengo D. N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Auxerre: Osho G.
(Injury)
Owusu E.
(Inactive)
Traore H. J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Lloris G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Le Havre?
Auxerre has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Auxerre?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Le Havre were as follows:
01.09.2024
Le Havre
-
Auxerre
3:1
Latest results of Auxerre
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2