Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 3, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (311/387) | 85% (361/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (311/387) | 85% (361/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 42% (15/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (64/103) | 67% (61/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.10 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Akpa C. 🟨,
- 43', Koka ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 62', 1 - 0, Sinayoko L. ⚽, Perrin G. (A),
- 70', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
- 70', Kechta Y. ↓, Zouaoui Y. ↑,
- 73', Onaiwu A. ↓, Aye F. ↑,
- 73', Joly P. ↓, Hoever K. ↑,
- 74', Diousse A. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
- 75', Hoever K. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 1, Jubal Junior (Own goal),
- 80', Oppegard F. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
- 84', Casimir J. 🟨,
- 89', Akpa C. ↓, Bair T. ↑,
- 90', Casimir J. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
- 90', Toure A. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Sangante A. ⚽, Mwanga J. (A),
Chances of winning
Auxerre
42.6% | Draw
26.8% | Le Havre
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Auxerre - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.03) |
3.57 ↑
(3.56) |
3.11 ↓
(3.6) |
4.7%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Le Havre will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 30% – 70%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Auxerre could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Knee Injury)
Danois K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Le Havre: Housni I.
(Ankle Injury)
Kitala Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Logbo A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mosengo D. N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Auxerre: Osho G.
(Injury)
Owusu E.
(Inactive)
Traore H. J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Lloris G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Le Havre?
Auxerre has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Auxerre?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Le Havre were as follows:
01.09.2024
Le Havre
-
Auxerre
3:1
Latest results of Auxerre
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
