Result
26/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 9
- Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Auxerre
44.9% | Draw
27.6% | Le Havre
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Auxerre - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.26) |
3.51 ↑
(3.38) |
3.52 ↑
(3.21) |
3.2%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Le Havre will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Auxerre will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Auxerre might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Siwe T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Le Havre: Lloris G.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Le Havre?
Auxerre has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Auxerre?
Le Havre has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Le Havre were as follows:
04.05.2025
Auxerre
-
Le Havre
1:2
01.09.2024
Le Havre
-
Auxerre
3:1
Latest results of Auxerre
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Lens | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Marseille | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | Monaco | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
