Brest vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
2:0
08/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 25
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.920.94
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
20
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
13
Passes
75% (251/334)84% (407/485)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.920.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.00
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
711
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
611
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
2218
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1715
Passes
75% (251/334)84% (407/485)
Long passes
41% (19/46)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
51% (40/79)73% (90/123)
Crosses
23% (3/13)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.53
Throw ins
2714
Fouls
1517
Tackles
32% (7/22)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5762
Clearances
2927
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.65
Goals prevented
0.00-1.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
  • 38', Doumbia K. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Del Castillo R. ⚽, Lala K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', Lloris G. ↓, Zagadou S. ↑,
  • 64', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
  • 64', Quetant K. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
  • 70', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽, Doumbia K. (A),
  • 73', Ajorque L. 🟨,
  • 78', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
  • 79', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
  • 80', Boufal S. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
  • 81', Sangante A. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
  • 90+2', Locko B. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,
  • 90+2', Ajorque L. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
  • 90+2', Del Castillo R. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,

Chances of winning


Brest
50.5%		Draw
26.8%		Le Havre
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 26.7% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 26.4% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
    •

    Brest - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.89
    (1.89)    		 3.57 ↑
    (3.54)    		 4.19 ↑
    (4.06)    		 4.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Brest - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Le Havre will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 56% – 91.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Brest (1.92) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Brest (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Brest (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4.
    • Brest is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Le Havre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Brest is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brest won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 1.1:0.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Le Havre were as follows:
    29.10.2025 Le Havre - Brest 1:0
    30.07.2025 Brest - Le Havre 1:0
    26.01.2025 Le Havre - Brest 0:1
    06.10.2024 Brest - Le Havre 2:0
    03.03.2024 Brest - Le Havre 1:0
    Latest results of Brest
    01.03.2026 Metz - Brest 0:1 ✺
    20.02.2026 Brest - Olympique Marseille 2:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Lille - Brest 1:1 ✺
    07.02.2026 Brest - Lorient 2:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Nice - Brest 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Le Havre
    28.02.2026 Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 Nantes - Le Havre 2:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Le Havre - Toulouse 2:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Le Havre - Strasbourg 2:1 ✺
    30.01.2026 Lens - Le Havre 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG27203461:233863
    2Lens28192754:272759
    3Marseille29164958:382052
    4Lille28155845:341150
    5Monaco291541050:43749
    6Lyon28146841:291248
    7Rennes28138747:40747
    8Strasbourg28127946:341243
    9Lorient28911838:42-438
    10Toulouse281071139:35437
    11Brest281061237:43-636
    12Paris FC298111037:45-835
    13Angers28961324:37-1333
    14Le Havre286101223:36-1328
    15Nice28761533:55-2227
    16Auxerre28581523:37-1423
    17Nantes27461724:45-2118
    18Metz29362026:63-3715

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