Le Havre vs Brest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Le Havre - Brest
Result
1:0
29/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.55
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
85% (353/414)84% (414/495)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.780.21
Total shots
138
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
85% (353/414)84% (414/495)
Long passes
45% (22/49)60% (50/84)
Passes in final third
73% (83/114)60% (69/115)
Crosses
17% (5/30)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.83
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
1211
Tackles
63% (10/16)88% (14/16)
Duels won
4157
Clearances
3131
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.210.78
Goals prevented
0.21-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Guindo D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Dina Ebimbe J. , Balde M. ,
  • 61', Chotard J. 🟨,
  • 65', Delaine T. , Zouaoui Y. ,
  • 65', Zagadou S. , Nego L. ,
  • 72', Doucoure F. , Ndiaye R. ,
  • 72', Ebonog S. , Kechta Y. ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Sangante A. , Zouaoui Y. (A),
  • 74', Guindo D. , Locko B. ,
  • 74', Tousart L. , Mboup P. ,
  • 77', Seko A. 🟨,
  • 83', Sangante A. , Youte Kinkoue E. ,
  • 90+4', Lala K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
33.6%
Draw
30.2%
Brest
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 29.5% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 30.3% 34.9%

Le Havre - Brest Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.84
(2.75)
3.2
(3.23)
2.64
(2.65)
4.3%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Brest?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Brest will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 24.6%61.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Brest: Doumbia K. (Knee Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Brest were as follows:
    30.07.2025 Brest - Le Havre 1:0
    26.01.2025 Le Havre - Brest 0:1
    06.10.2024 Brest - Le Havre 2:0
    03.03.2024 Brest - Le Havre 1:0
    20.08.2023 Le Havre - Brest 1:2
    Latest results of Le Havre
    26.10.2025 Auxerre - Le Havre 0:1
    05.10.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 2:2
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    21.09.2025 Le Havre - Lorient 1:1
    Latest results of Brest
    19.10.2025 Lorient - Brest 3:3
    04.10.2025 Brest - Nantes 0:0
    28.09.2025 Angers - Brest 0:2
    20.09.2025 Brest - Nice 4:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marseille1281328:111725
    2Lens1281321:111025
    3PSG1173121:91224
    4Lille1162323:131020
    5Lyon1162316:12420
    6Monaco1262424:21320
    7Strasbourg1161422:16619
    8Rennes1246219:17218
    9Nice1152416:16017
    10Toulouse1143417:15215
    11Paris FC1242618:21-314
    12Le Havre1235413:17-414
    13Brest1224614:21-710
    14Nantes1224611:18-710
    15Angers112458:15-710
    16Lorient1123613:25-129
    17Metz1122710:26-168
    18Auxerre112187:17-107

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