Montpellier vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premiere Ligue Women - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.830.38
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
43
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
43
Passes
71% (302/425)49% (89/181)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.830.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.27
Total shots
97
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
01
Shots inside the box
54
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
179
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
169
Passes
71% (302/425)49% (89/181)
Long passes
58% (60/104)20% (9/44)
Passes in final third
59% (77/130)53% (34/64)
Crosses
36% (5/14)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.31
Throw ins
4034
Fouls
916
Tackles
42% (5/12)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5042
Clearances
1941
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.270.34
Goals prevented
-1.73-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Roth M. ,
  • 41', Baylet C. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 2, Stievenart Z. , Gavory C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mendy M. , Rossi F. ,
  • 46', Gavory C. , Lefevre E. ,
  • 51', Rossi F. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Blanc C. ,
  • 55', Coquet J. , Ngueleu N. ,
  • 55', Felden A. , Palis E. ,
  • 55', Baylet C. , Bizet A. ,
  • 65', Enguehard R. 🟨,
  • 67', Kassi S. , Boucly M. ,
  • 67', Nassi J. , Effa Effa C. ,
  • 77', Rastocle J. , Chabod C. ,
  • 86', Stievenart Z. , Paljevic E. ,
  • 86', Blanc C. , Rambaud E. ,

Chances of winning


Montpellier
45.7%
Draw
26.3%
Le Havre
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 26.8% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 28.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montpellier's performance.
  • Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Montpellier - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.25)
    3.47
    (3.39)
    3.26
    (2.78)
    9.6%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 1.
    • Montpellier is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Le Havre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Montpellier has had a series of away games.
    • Montpellier could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Le Havre were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Le Havre - Montpellier 3:2
    25.01.2025 Montpellier - Le Havre 0:2
    18.01.2025 Montpellier - Le Havre 1:3
    18.10.2024 Le Havre - Montpellier 0:1
    17.03.2024 Le Havre - Montpellier 3:3
    Latest results of Montpellier
    31.01.2026 Fleury 91 - Montpellier 1:0
    17.01.2026 Montpellier - Dijon 1:1
    14.01.2026 Strasbourg - Montpellier 2:1
    10.01.2026 Sarcelles - Montpellier 1:2
    Latest results of Le Havre
    31.01.2026 Saint-Étienne - Le Havre 1:1
    25.01.2026 Nice - Le Havre 1:2
    14.01.2026 Le Havre - Fleury 91 1:1
    11.01.2026 Le Havre - Auxerre 4:1
    French Division 1 Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon W16151061:75446
    2Nantes W1693430:28230
    3Paris FC W1693428:121630
    4Fleury 91 W1685322:111129
    5PSG W1692535:221329
    6Strasbourg W1674521:22-125
    7Dijon W1656514:21-721
    8Le Havre W1644816:32-1616
    9Marseille W1643921:35-1415
    10St Etienne W1623118:28-209
    11Montpellier W16231121:34-139
    12Lens W16231114:39-259

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