Le Havre vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Le Havre - Nice
Result
3:1
31/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 3
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.570.61
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
79% (256/325)86% (401/469)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
2.570.61
xG on target (xGOT)
3.171.32
Total shots
127
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
79% (256/325)86% (401/469)
Long passes
46% (33/72)51% (18/35)
Passes in final third
58% (35/60)71% (92/130)
Crosses
19% (5/26)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.37
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1316
Tackles
55% (6/11)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
2621
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.323.17
Goals prevented
0.320.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Mendy A. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Doucoure F. , Soumare I. (A),
  • 41', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Peprah K. , Boudaoui H. (A),
  • 55', Bah J. 🟨,
  • 55', Soumare I. 🟨,
  • 60', Abdul Samed S. , Diop S. ,
  • 60', Jansson I. , Clauss J. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Ndiaye R. ,
  • 66', Ndiaye R. , Toure A. ,
  • 67', Zouaoui Y. , Delaine T. ,
  • 67', Kechta Y. , Mambimbi F. ,
  • 67', Boga J. , Moffi T. ,
  • 67', Mendy A. , Nguene B. ,
  • 82', Louchet T. , Sanson M. ,
  • 82', Doucoure F. , Namli Y. ,
  • 85', Samatta A. , Ebonog S. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Soumare I. , Diaw M. (A),
  • 90+7', Kevin 🟨,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
28.9%
Draw
27.5%
Nice
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 24.6% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 23.3% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Le Havre - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (3.8)
    3.45
    (3.75)
    2.2
    (1.8)
    4.9%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Le Havre - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Nice will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 52.1%90.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Le Havre is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nice has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Le Havre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Le Havre has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Nice has had a series of home games.
    • Nice is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Abdi A. (Hernia) Bombito M. (Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Pizarro D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Clauss J. (Inactive) Dante (Knee Injury) Sanson M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Nice were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Le Havre - Nice 1:3
    07.12.2024 Nice - Le Havre 2:1
    10.05.2024 Nice - Le Havre 1:0
    16.12.2023 Le Havre - Nice 3:1
    Latest results of Le Havre
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1
    02.08.2025 Paris FC - Le Havre 1:1
    30.07.2025 Brest - Le Havre 1:0
    Latest results of Nice
    23.08.2025 Nice - Auxerre 3:1
    16.08.2025 Nice - Toulouse 0:1
    12.08.2025 Benfica - Nice 2:0
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    30.07.2025 Nice - Sheffield United 3:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG33008:359
    2Lyon33005:059
    3Lille321011:477
    4Monaco32016:426
    5Lens32015:326
    6Strasbourg32014:316
    7Toulouse32016:606
    8Angers31112:204
    9Rennes31112:5-34
    10Marseille31025:413
    11Le Havre31025:6-13
    12Nice31024:5-13
    13Nantes31021:2-13
    14Auxerre31022:4-23
    15Lorient31025:8-33
    16Paris FC31025:8-33
    17Brest30124:8-41
    18Metz30032:7-50

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