Lea Ma vs Rina Saigo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jingshan Challenger Women Lea Ma - Rina Saigo
Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
72
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
52%56%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (26/34)72% (38/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (14/32)54% (22/41)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)88% (7/8)
1st Return Points Won
28% (15/53)24% (8/34)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (19/41)56% (18/32)
Break Points Converted
13% (1/8)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
58% (36/62)61% (52/85)
Return Points Won
39% (33/85)42% (26/62)
Total Points Won
47% (69/147)53% (78/147)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
42% (10/24)58% (14/24)

Chances of winning


Lea Ma
53.9%
Rina Saigo
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lea Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Rina Saigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lea Ma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rina Saigo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rina Saigo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lea Ma - Rina Saigo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.62)

    2.04
    (2.17)
    6.6%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ma is ranked WTA: 334. Saigo is ranked WTA: 391.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ma might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lea Ma
    22.09.2025 Arianne Hartono - Lea Ma 1:2
    21.09.2025 Lea Ma - Ying Zhang 2:1
    20.09.2025 Lea Ma - Fang Ying Xun 2:0
    16.08.2025 Lulu Sun - Lea Ma 2:0
    01.08.2025 Lea Ma - Varvara Lepchenko 0:2
    Latest results of Rina Saigo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Falei A.2 : 0
    2Yamaguchi M.Wong Hong Yi C.2 : 0
    3Reyngold E. (Q)Lu J.1 : 2
    4Bhatia R. (Q)Gao X. (5)2 : 1
    5Sun L. (3)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    6Wu R. X. (WC)Wang Y. (WC)2 : 1
    7You X.Pieri J. (RET.)0 : 0
    8Pridankina E.Hontama M. (6)2 : 1
    9Hartono A. (7)Ma L. (Q)1 : 2
    10Saigo R.Tian F. (Q)2 : 0
    11Inoue H.Yang Y. (WC)2 : 1
    12Ma Y.Burrage J. (4)2 : 0
    13Okamura K. (8)Zheng W.2 : 0
    14Monnet C.Liang E. S.1 : 2
    15Thandi K. K.Kulikova A.0 : 2
    16Wang M. (WC)Gibson T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Yamaguchi M.2 : 0
    2Lu J.Bhatia R.2 : 0
    3Sun L. (3)Wu R. X.2 : 0
    4You X.Pridankina E.0 : 2
    5Ma L.Saigo R.1 : 2
    6Inoue H.Ma Y.0 : 2
    7Okamura K. (8)Liang E. S.0 : 2
    8Kulikova A.Gibson T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Lu J.
    2Sun L. (3)Pridankina E.
    3Saigo R.Ma Y.
    4Liang E. S.Gibson T. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2