Lea Ma vs Ying Zhang – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jingshan Challenger Women Lea Ma - Ying Zhang
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
711
Double Faults
76
1st Serve Percentage
51%60%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (37/46)63% (34/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (21/44)47% (17/36)
Break Points Saved
78% (7/9)55% (6/11)
1st Return Points Won
37% (20/54)28% (13/46)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (19/36)50% (22/44)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)22% (2/9)
Service Points Won
63% (59/93)57% (51/90)
Return Points Won
43% (39/90)37% (34/93)
Total Points Won
54% (98/183)46% (85/183)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
06
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
61% (17/28)39% (11/28)

Chances of winning


Lea Ma
75.4%
Ying Zhang
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lea Ma's performance.
  • Ying Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ying Zhang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lea Ma that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ying Zhang than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ying Zhang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lea Ma - Ying Zhang Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.49)

    3.89
    (2.47)
    4.8%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Lea Ma - Ying Zhang?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ma will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Zhang will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ma is ranked WTA: 336. Zhang is ranked WTA: 423.
    • Ma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Zhang is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ma might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lea Ma
    20.09.2025 Lea Ma - Fang Ying Xun 2:0
    16.08.2025 Lulu Sun - Lea Ma 2:0
    01.08.2025 Lea Ma - Varvara Lepchenko 0:2
    31.07.2025 Clervie Ngounoue - Lea Ma Ma L. walkover
    30.07.2025 Lea Ma - Makenna Jones 2:0
    Latest results of Ying Zhang
    19.09.2025 Jiaqi Wang - Ying Zhang 1:2
    10.09.2025 Ying Zhang - Fangran Tian Zhang Y. retired
    01.09.2025 Ying Zhang - Alina Charaeva Zhang Y. retired
    14.08.2025 Mio Mushika - Ying Zhang 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Falei A.2 : 0
    2Yamaguchi M.Wong Hong Yi C.2 : 0
    3Reyngold E. (Q)Lu J.1 : 2
    4Bhatia R. (Q)Gao X. (5)2 : 1
    5Sun L. (3)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    6Wu R. X. (WC)Wang Y. (WC)2 : 1
    7You X.Pieri J. (RET.)0 : 0
    8Pridankina E.Hontama M. (6)2 : 1
    9Hartono A. (7)Ma L. (Q)1 : 2
    10Saigo R.Tian F. (Q)2 : 0
    11Inoue H.Yang Y. (WC)2 : 1
    12Ma Y.Burrage J. (4)2 : 0
    13Okamura K. (8)Zheng W.2 : 0
    14Monnet C.Liang E. S.1 : 2
    15Thandi K. K.Kulikova A.0 : 2
    16Wang M. (WC)Gibson T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Yamaguchi M.2 : 0
    2Lu J.Bhatia R.2 : 0
    3Sun L. (3)Wu R. X.2 : 0
    4You X.Pridankina E.0 : 2
    5Ma L.Saigo R.1 : 2
    6Inoue H.Ma Y.0 : 2
    7Okamura K. (8)Liang E. S.0 : 2
    8Kulikova A.Gibson T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Lu J.
    2Sun L. (3)Pridankina E.
    3Saigo R.Ma Y.
    4Liang E. S.Gibson T. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2