Atlético Astorga vs Lealtad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Match Stats

Red cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Alvarez J. ,
  • 40', 0 - 2, Pereira N. ,
  • 45', 0 - 3, Hernandez O. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 3, Cervero A. ,
  • 60', 1 - 4, Alvarez J. ,
  • 63', Selles 🟥,
  • 67', 2 - 4, Albertin ,
  • 72', 3 - 4, Jimenez J. ,
  • 90+3', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Atlético Astorga
49%
Draw
27.7%
Lealtad
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 26.7% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.5% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Atlético Astorga - Lealtad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.81)
    3.3
    (3.41)
    3.94
    (3.96)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Atlético Astorga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lealtad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Atlético Astorga is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Astorga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Astorga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Astorga - Lealtad were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Lealtad - Atlético Astorga 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético Astorga
    Latest results of Lealtad
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril30189353:193463
    2Oviedo B30159645:291654
    3Gimnastica Segoviana30139834:30448
    4UD Ourense30139833:28548
    5Real Avila30138944:41347
    6Coruxo FC301361138:32645
    7Salamanca301281039:32744
    8Numancia301110937:31643
    9Bergantinos301191036:32442
    10Atl. Astorga301171237:39-240
    11Langreo301091128:33-539
    12Rayo Cantabria30815751:411039
    13Marino de Luanco309111025:23238
    14Sarriana301071338:36237
    15Valladolid Promesas30891350:56-633
    16Burgos CF B306111335:52-1729
    17Lealtad30761725:44-1927
    18UD Samano ✔ 30362121:71-5015

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          Relegation

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