Result
3:4
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 33', 0 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 2, Pereira N. ⚽,
- 45', 0 - 3, Hernandez O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 3, Cervero A. ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 4, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 63', Selles 🟥,
- 67', 2 - 4, Albertin ⚽,
- 72', 3 - 4, Jimenez J. ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Atlético Astorga 49% | Draw 27.7% | Lealtad 23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Atlético Astorga - Lealtad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↑ (1.81) |
3.3 ↓ (3.41) |
3.94 ↓ (3.96) |
9.2% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Atlético Astorga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lealtad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Atlético Astorga is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Astorga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Astorga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Astorga won against Lealtad?
Atlético Astorga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lealtad won against Atlético Astorga?
Lealtad has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Astorga - Lealtad were as follows:
02.11.2025
Lealtad
-
Atlético Astorga
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Astorga
Latest results of Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Oviedo B | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 48 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 48 |
| 5 | Real Avila | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:41 | 3 | 47 |
| 6 | Coruxo FC | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 38:32 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Salamanca | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Numancia | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 9 | Bergantinos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Atl. Astorga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37:39 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Langreo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 51:41 | 10 | 39 |
| 13 | Marino de Luanco | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 25:23 | 2 | 38 |
| 14 | Sarriana | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38:36 | 2 | 37 |
| 15 | Valladolid Promesas | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 50:56 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 35:52 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 21:71 | -50 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
UD Samano is Relegated to