Result
3:4
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 33', 0 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 2, Pereira N. ⚽,
- 45', 0 - 3, Hernandez O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 3, Cervero A. ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 4, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 63', Selles 🟥,
- 67', 2 - 4, Albertin ⚽,
- 72', 3 - 4, Jimenez J. ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Atlético Astorga
49% | Draw
27.7% | Lealtad
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Atlético Astorga - Lealtad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.81) |
3.3 ↓
(3.41) |
3.94 ↓
(3.96) |
9.2%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Atlético Astorga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lealtad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Atlético Astorga is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Astorga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Astorga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Astorga won against Lealtad?
Atlético Astorga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lealtad won against Atlético Astorga?
Lealtad has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Astorga - Lealtad were as follows:
02.11.2025
Lealtad
-
Atlético Astorga
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Astorga
Latest results of Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril ✔ | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:20 | 41 | 72 |
| 2 | Oviedo B ✔ | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 15 | 58 |
| 3 | UD Ourense ✔ | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 55 |
| 4 | Numancia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | -4 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 7 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 13 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 7 | 48 |
| 11 | Atl. Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | -2 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 5 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 1 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | -6 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 0 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B ✔ | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | -17 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad ✔ | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | -23 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | -64 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Dep. Fabril is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Oviedo B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
UD Ourense is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Burgos CF B is Relegated to
Lealtad is Relegated to
UD Samano is Relegated to
