Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 43
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Lewthwaite T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', 1 - 1, Youmbi D. ⚽,
- 73', 1 - 2, Lund A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leamington
33.1% | Draw
27.3% | Alfreton Town
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leamington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leamington's performance.Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfreton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leamington that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Leamington - Alfreton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(3.58) |
3.4 ↑
(3.39) |
2.31 ↑
(1.92) |
8.9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leamington won 0.
- Leamington is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alfreton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leamington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Leamington has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Leamington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leamington won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leamington won against Alfreton Town?
Leamington has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Leamington?
Alfreton Town has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leamington - Alfreton Town were as follows:
30.12.2025
Alfreton Town
-
Leamington
2:1
25.03.2025
Alfreton Town
-
Leamington
1:0
20.08.2024
Leamington
-
Alfreton Town
2:2
01.04.2023
Alfreton Town
-
Leamington
2:0
08.10.2022
Leamington
-
Alfreton Town
1:2
Latest results of Leamington
Latest results of Alfreton Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 104:49 | 55 | 94 |
| 2 | South Shields | 43 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 94:40 | 54 | 91 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 43 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 67:48 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 78:60 | 18 | 76 |
| 5 | Scarborough | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 58:50 | 8 | 69 |
| 6 | Chester | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64:63 | 1 | 69 |
| 7 | Darlington | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 76:64 | 12 | 68 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 43 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 89:79 | 10 | 67 |
| 9 | Buxton | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 73:58 | 15 | 66 |
| 10 | AFC Telford | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 84:62 | 22 | 64 |
| 11 | Spennymoor | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 59:68 | -9 | 64 |
| 12 | Marine | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 57:63 | -6 | 61 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 43 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 73:77 | -4 | 57 |
| 14 | Southport | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 61:65 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Worksop | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57:72 | -15 | 54 |
| 16 | Chorley | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 63:63 | 0 | 53 |
| 17 | Bedford | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:75 | -11 | 51 |
| 18 | Curzon Ashton | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:81 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Oxford City | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 56:63 | -7 | 50 |
| 20 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 55:63 | -8 | 50 |
| 21 | Hereford | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 56:73 | -17 | 45 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 41:75 | -34 | 45 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports ✔ | 44 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 49:86 | -37 | 38 |
| 24 | Leamington ✔ | 44 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 38:83 | -45 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
Leamington is Relegated to
