Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	10
Double Faults
3	11
1st Serve Percentage
67%	68%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (48/76)	79% (59/75)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (23/38)	28% (10/36)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)	40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
21% (16/75)	37% (28/76)
2nd Return Points Won
72% (26/36)	39% (15/38)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)	33% (4/12)
Winners
7	7
Unforced Errors
3	3
Net Points Won
71% (5/7)	42% (5/12)
Service Points Won
62% (71/114)	62% (69/111)
Return Points Won
38% (42/111)	38% (43/114)
Total Points Won
50% (113/225)	50% (112/225)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
76% (13/17)	82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)	24% (4/17)
Total Games Won
47% (16/34)	53% (18/34)

Chances of winning

Learner Tien
28.6%

Daniil Medvedev
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Learner Tien's form might have worsened.

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Medvedev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.78)		1.34 ↓ (1.44)	4.4% (5.5%)

What is the prediction for Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Medvedev will win (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 59.3% – 92.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Learner Tien will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Tien is ranked ATP: 36. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 18.
Now, both players are in good form.
Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Medvedev is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tien won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Learner Tien won against Daniil Medvedev?

Learner Tien has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Learner Tien?

Daniil Medvedev has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev were as follows:

30.09.2025 Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev Medvedev D. retired

16.01.2025 Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev 3:2

Latest results of Learner Tien

06.10.2025 Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie 2:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien 1:2 ✺

03.10.2025 Learner Tien - Miomir Kecmanovic 2:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Jannik Sinner - Learner Tien 2:0 ✺

30.09.2025 Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev Medvedev D. retired ✺

Latest results of Daniil Medvedev

06.10.2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Daniil Medvedev 0:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Dalibor Svrcina - Daniil Medvedev 0:2 ✺

30.09.2025 Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev Medvedev D. retired ✺

29.09.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev 2:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Bye
2	Tien L.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
3	Cazaux A.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Norrie C. (30)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
6	Arnaldi M.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
7	Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)	Svrcina D. (Q)	0 : 1
8	Bye	Medvedev D. (16)
9	Khachanov K. (9)	Bye
10	Kovacevic A.	Shang J. (WC)	1 : 2
11	Van De Zandschulp B.	Borges N.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Vukic A. (LL)
13	Nakashima B. (29)	Bye
14	Majchrzak K.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
15	Ugo Carabelli C.	Atmane T. (RET.)	0 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (7)
17	Zverev A. (3)	Bye
18	Royer V. (Q)	Navone M.	2 : 1
19	Rinderknech A.	Medjedovic H. (RET.)	0 : 1
20	Bye	Michelsen A. (28)
21	Shapovalov D. (23)	Bye
22	Dzumhur D.	O'Connell C.	0 : 2
23	McDonald M. (LL)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Lehecka J. (15)
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Bye
26	Giron M.	Tabilo A. (Q)	0 : 2
27	Zhou Y. (WC)	De Jong J.	1 : 2
28	Bye	Mensik J. (17)
29	Darderi L. (26)	Bye
30	Bu Y.	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 1
31	Comesana F.	Blanchet U. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (8)
33	Shelton B. (6)	Bye
34	Goffin D.	Muller A.	2 : 1
35	Opelka R.	Bonzi B.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Diallo G. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
38	Mannarino A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
39	Korda S.	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Ruud C. (11)
41	Rublev A. (13)	Bye
42	Nishioka Y. (Q)	Shevchenko A.	2 : 0
43	Munar J.	Fucsovics M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Cobolli F. (22)
45	Tiafoe F. (25)	Bye
46	Sonego L.	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	1 : 2
47	Cilic M.	Basilashvili N. (Q)	2 : 0
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Fritz T. (5)	Bye
50	Marozsan F.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	2 : 1
51	Ofner S. (PR)	Nardi L.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
53	Humbert U. (21)	Bye
54	Thompson J.	Holmgren A. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Zhang Z. (WC)	Baez S.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Rune H. (10)
57	Bublik A. (14)	Bye
58	Djere L.	Vacherot V. (Q)	0 : 2
59	Walton A.	Bellucci M.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Machac T. (20)
61	Griekspoor T. (27)	Bye
62	Brooksby J. (PR)	Trotter J. K. (Q)	2 : 0
63	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Altmaier D.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Tien L.	1 : 2
2	Cazaux A.	Norrie C. (30)	1 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
4	Svrcina D.	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
5	Khachanov K. (9)	Shang J.	0 : 2
6	Borges N.	Vukic A.	2 : 0
7	Nakashima B. (29)	Majchrzak K.	0 : 2
8	Ugo Carabelli C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
9	Zverev A. (3)	Royer V.	2 : 0
10	Rinderknech A.	Michelsen A. (28)	2 : 0
11	Shapovalov D. (23)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
12	Halys Q.	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	De Jong J.	Mensik J. (17)	2 : 1
15	Darderi L. (26)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
16	Comesana F.	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
17	Shelton B. (6)	Goffin D.	0 : 2
18	Bonzi B.	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (19)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
20	Bergs Z.	Ruud C. (RET.) (11)	1 : 1
21	Rublev A. (13)	Nishioka Y.	1 : 2
22	Munar J.	Cobolli F. (22)	2 : 0
23	Tiafoe F. (25)	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
24	Cilic M.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Fritz T. (5)	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
26	Nardi L.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
27	Humbert U. (21)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
28	Baez S.	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
29	Bublik A. (14)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2
30	Bellucci M.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
31	Griekspoor T. (27)	Brooksby J.	2 : 1
32	Altmaier D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Tien L.	Norrie C. (30)	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
3	Shang J.	Borges N.	1 : 2
4	Majchrzak K.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
5	Zverev A. (3)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
6	Shapovalov D. (23)	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
7	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	De Jong J.	2 : 0
8	Darderi L. (26)	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
9	Goffin D. (RET.)	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 0
10	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
11	Nishioka Y.	Munar J.	1 : 2
12	Hanfmann Y.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
13	Fritz T. (5)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
14	Humbert U. (21)	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
15	Vacherot V.	Machac T. (RET.) (20)	1 : 0
16	Griekspoor T. (27)	Sinner J. (RET.) (2)	1 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Tien L.	Medvedev D. (16)	1 : 2
2	Borges N.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
3	Rinderknech A.	Lehecka J. (15)	2 : 0
4	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 0
5	Diallo G. (31)	Bergs Z.	1 : 2
6	Munar J.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
7	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	Rune H. (10)	1 : 2
8	Vacherot V.	Griekspoor T. (27)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	De Minaur A. (7)	2 : 0
2	Rinderknech A.	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	2 : 0
3	Bergs Z.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Rune H. (10)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Vacherot V.	0 : 2

Final

1

Rinderknech A.

Vacherot V.

1 : 2