Learner Tien vs Francisco Cerundolo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Learner Tien - Francisco Cerundolo
Result
2:1
26/09/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
19
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
60%55%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (36/56)75% (36/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (19/37)35% (14/40)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
27% (13/48)36% (20/56)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (26/40)49% (18/37)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)57% (4/7)
Winners
1428
Unforced Errors
1825
Net Points Won
64% (7/11)57% (8/14)
Service Points Won
59% (55/93)56% (50/89)
Return Points Won
44% (39/89)41% (38/93)
Total Points Won
52% (94/182)48% (88/182)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
55% (16/29)45% (13/29)

Chances of winning


Learner Tien
47.4%
Francisco Cerundolo
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 64.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Learner Tien's performance.
  • Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Learner Tien that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Learner Tien - Francisco Cerundolo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.53)

    1.89
    (1.49)
    2.7%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Learner Tien - Francisco Cerundolo?
  • Users Predictions: Learner Tien will win (47 of 51 users predict this - 92.16%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.78%99.54%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Learner Tien will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tien is ranked ATP: 52. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 21.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Learner Tien
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (RET.) (8)1 : 1

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Tien L.2 : 0