Learner Tien vs Lorenzo Musetti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Learner Tien - Lorenzo Musetti
Result
Musetti L. retired
29/09/2025 at 07:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
06
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
72%78%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (37/56)70% (32/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
64% (14/22)46% (6/13)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
30% (14/46)34% (19/56)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (7/13)36% (8/22)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)17% (1/6)
Service Points Won
65% (51/78)64% (38/59)
Return Points Won
36% (21/59)35% (27/78)
Total Points Won
53% (72/137)47% (65/137)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Learner Tien
30.9%
Lorenzo Musetti
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 66.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Learner Tien - Lorenzo Musetti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.57)

    1.39
    (1.42)
    4.5%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Learner Tien - Lorenzo Musetti?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Musetti will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 55.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tien (votes: 1 - 50%). Musetti (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tien is ranked ATP: 52. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Musetti might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Musetti will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Learner Tien
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (RET.) (8)1 : 1

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Tien L.