Leça vs Gouveia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal Leça - Gouveia
Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
84
Total shots
148
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 65', 1 - 0, ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Leça
72.1%
Draw
18.5%
Gouveia
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 25.7% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 20.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leça's performance.
  • Gouveia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gouveia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-26%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leça that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gouveia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leça - Gouveia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.55)
    5.37
    (3.5)
    10.39
    (5.5)
    8.9%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).
    • Leça has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gouveia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gouveia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Leça is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leça won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leça won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
    Latest results of Leça
    28.09.2025 União Lamas - Leça 2:1
    14.09.2025 Leça - Alpendorada 0:0
    31.08.2025 Rebordosa - Leça 2:0
    24.08.2025 Cinfães - Leça 1:1
    17.08.2025 Leça - Florgrade 1:0
    Latest results of Gouveia
    28.09.2025 Gouveia - Vila Real 0:5
    21.09.2025 Rebordelo - Gouveia 3:2
    14.09.2025 Rebordosa - Gouveia 4:0
    31.08.2025 Gouveia - Beira-Mar 4:2
    24.08.2025 Gouveia - Aparecida 1:2