Guarda Desportiva vs Leça – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal Guarda Desportiva - Leça
Result
1:5
19/03/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 23

Chances of winning


Guarda Desportiva
15.9%
Draw
23.2%
Leça
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.9% 26.3% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 25.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarda Desportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarda Desportiva's form might have worsened.
  • Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leça's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda Desportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leça, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guarda Desportiva - Leça Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.71
    (4.13)
    3.92
    (3.43)
    1.49
    (1.74)
    9.9%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).
    • Guarda Desportiva is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Leça has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Leça is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Guarda Desportiva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarda Desportiva - Leça were as follows:
    04.12.2022 Leça - Guarda Desportiva 2:0
    Latest results of Guarda Desportiva
    Latest results of Leça
    12.03.2023 Leça - Lusitânia 1:2
    05.03.2023 Gondomar - Leça 2:0
    26.02.2023 Leça - Salgueiros 08 1:2
    19.02.2023 Rebordosa - Leça 1:1
    12.02.2023 Leça - Alpendorada 0:1