Atalanta vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo).

Serie A - Round 3
Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.97	0.53
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
8	3
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
85% (389/455)	79% (280/353)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.11	0.71
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
13	4
Shots outside the Box
6	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
31	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
7	12
Passes
85% (389/455)	79% (280/353)
Long passes
41% (14/34)	38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
73% (95/130)	66% (92/140)
Crosses
13% (3/23)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	0.45
Throw-ins
14	18
Fouls
12	7
Tackles
79% (11/14)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
44	41
Clearances
20	31
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.71	2.11
Goals prevented
-0.29	-1.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Scalvini G. ⚽, Zalewski N. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, De Ketelaere C. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
59', Pasalic M. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
59', Sottil R. ↓, Pierotti S. ↑,
60', Sala A. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Zalewski N. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
71', Stulic N. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
71', Kouassi C. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, De Ketelaere C. ⚽,
75', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
75', Sulemana K. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
76', De Roon M. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
79', Siebert J. ↓, Tiago Gabriel ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Ndri K. ⚽, Veiga D. (A),
86', Zalewski N. ↓, Bernasconi L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Atalanta
66.8%

Draw
21%

Lecce
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

20%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

17.6%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Atalanta - Lecce Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.42)	4.54 ↓ (4.79)	7.72 ↓ (7.73)	4.6% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Atalanta - Lecce?

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 38 - 71.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 4 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 59.6% – 83.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1.5 - Atalanta (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Atalanta (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Atalanta (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Lecce (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 31 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 22 - 71%). Lecce (votes: 1 - 3.2%). Tie (votes: 8 - 25.8%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 3.
Recent form of Atalanta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Lecce has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Atalanta is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Ederson (Knee Injury) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Atalanta: Lookman A. (Inactive) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Lecce: Kaba M. (Inactive) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Lecce?

Atalanta has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Atalanta?

Lecce has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Lecce were as follows:

27.04.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 1:1

19.08.2024 Lecce - Atalanta 0:4

18.05.2024 Lecce - Atalanta 0:2

30.12.2023 Atalanta - Lecce 1:0

19.02.2023 Atalanta - Lecce 1:2

Latest results of Atalanta

30.08.2025 Parma - Atalanta 1:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Atalanta - Pisa 1:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Atalanta - Juventus 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Atalanta - Opatija 3:3 ✺

09.08.2025 Köln - Atalanta 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Lecce

29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2 ✺

23.08.2025 Genoa - Lecce 0:0 ✺

15.08.2025 Lecce - Juve Stabia 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Monopoli - Lecce 2:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Lecce - Carrarese 1:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	26	21	1	4	62:21	41	64
2	AC Milan	26	15	9	2	41:20	21	54
3	Napoli	26	15	5	6	39:27	12	50
4	AS Roma	26	16	2	8	34:16	18	50
5	Juventus	26	13	7	6	43:25	18	46
6	Como	26	12	9	5	41:19	22	45
7	Atalanta	26	12	9	5	36:22	14	45
8	Bologna	26	10	6	10	35:32	3	36
9	Sassuolo	26	10	5	11	32:35	-3	35
10	Lazio	26	8	10	8	26:25	1	34
11	Udinese	26	9	5	12	28:39	-11	32
12	Parma	26	8	8	10	19:31	-12	32
13	Cagliari	26	7	8	11	28:35	-7	29
14	Genoa	26	6	9	11	32:37	-5	27
15	Torino	26	7	6	13	25:47	-22	27
16	Fiorentina	26	5	9	12	30:39	-9	24
17	Cremonese	26	5	9	12	21:36	-15	24
18	Lecce	26	6	6	14	17:33	-16	24
19	Pisa	26	1	12	13	20:43	-23	15
20	Verona	26	2	9	15	19:46	-27	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B