Lecce vs Atalanta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
06/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 31
  • Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.332.20
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
06
Big chances
05
Corner kicks
25
Passes
81% (264/324)82% (372/454)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.332.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.002.46
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
513
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
05
Corner kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1937
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free kicks
1810
Passes
81% (264/324)82% (372/454)
Long passes
56% (27/48)45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
72% (79/110)68% (81/120)
Crosses
15% (3/20)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.58
Throw ins
2232
Fouls
1018
Tackles
69% (9/13)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5645
Clearances
2617
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
30
xGOT faced
2.460.00
Goals prevented
-0.540.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Scalvini G. , De Ketelaere C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Fofana S. , Gandelman O. ,
  • 47', Djimsiti B. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 2, Krstovic N. , De Ketelaere C. (A),
  • 63', Zalewski N. , Raspadori G. ,
  • 63', De Roon M. , Pasalic M. ,
  • 67', Veiga D. , Ndri K. ,
  • 68', Ramadani Y. , Coulibaly L. ,
  • 70', Zappacosta D. 🟨,
  • 70', Zappacosta D. , Bellanova R. ,
  • 70', Djimsiti B. , Kossounou O. ,
  • 73', 0 - 3, Raspadori G. , Pasalic M. (A),
  • 78', Cheddira W. , Stulic N. ,
  • 80', Krstovic N. , Sulemana K. ,

Chances of winning


Lecce
17.7%
Draw
25.5%
Atalanta
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.4% 25.2% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4% 26.5% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Lecce - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.36
    (4.65)
    3.73
    (3.77)
    1.68
    (1.75)
    5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lecce - Atalanta?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 6 - 14.3%). Atalanta will win (votes: 31 - 73.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 60.5%87.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Lecce (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Lecce (votes: 1 - 20%). Atalanta (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.
    • Lecce is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atalanta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Atalanta is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Thigh Injury) Camarda F. (Shoulder Injury) Gaspar K. (Knee Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Hien I. (Thigh Injury) Scamacca G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Banda L. (Thigh Injury) Coulibaly L. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 0.9:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 1:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Atalanta were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 4:1
    27.04.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 1:1
    19.08.2024 Lecce - Atalanta 0:4
    18.05.2024 Lecce - Atalanta 0:2
    30.12.2023 Atalanta - Lecce 1:0
    Latest results of Lecce
    22.03.2026 Roma - Lecce 1:0
    14.03.2026 Napoli - Lecce 2:1
    08.03.2026 Lecce - Cremonese 2:1
    28.02.2026 Como - Lecce 3:1
    21.02.2026 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:2
    Latest results of Atalanta
    22.03.2026 Atalanta - Verona 1:0
    18.03.2026 Bayern Munich - Atalanta 4:1
    14.03.2026 Inter Milan - Atalanta 1:1
    10.03.2026 Atalanta - Bayern Munich 1:6
    07.03.2026 Atalanta - Udinese 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter31233571:264572
    2Napoli31205647:301765
    3AC Milan31189447:242363
    4Como311610553:223158
    5Juventus31169654:292557
    6AS Roma311731142:281454
    7Atalanta311411644:271753
    8Bologna311361240:37345
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Sassuolo311261338:41-342
    11Udinese311171335:42-740
    12Torino311061535:53-1836
    13Parma318111222:39-1735
    14Genoa31891436:44-833
    15Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    16Cagliari31791532:44-1230
    17Cremonese31691626:46-2027
    18Lecce31761821:43-2227
    19Verona31391922:53-3118
    20Pisa312121723:55-3218

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B