Result
1:3
11/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 20
- Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport App, ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sport 1 |
 Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (252/377) | 70% (281/402) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 53% (71/135) | 62% (64/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 25% (1/4) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 64% (16/25) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Tete Morente ⚽, Pierotti S. (A),
- 11', 0 - 2, Krstovic N. ⚽, Tete Morente (A),
- 21', Ismajli A. ↓, De Sciglio M. ↑,
- 37', Tete Morente 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Cacace L. ⚽, Gyasi E. (A),
- 52', Helgason T. J. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
- 58', Pierret B. 🟨,
- 68', Pierotti S. ↓, Bonifazi K. ↑,
- 75', Maleh Y. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
- 80', Pezzella G. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
- 80', Grassi A. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
- 82', Pierret B. ↓, Ramadani Y. ↑,
- 82', Tete Morente ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 83', Krstovic N. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Krstovic N. ⚽, Dorgu P. (A),
Chances of winning
Empoli
47.8% | Draw
30.7% | Lecce
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Empoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Empoli - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.11) |
3.1 ↓
(3.18) |
4.43 ↑
(3.81) |
4.7%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Empoli - Lecce?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). Lecce will win (votes: 5 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 42.2% – 72.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 1.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- In this match Empoli is a favorite.
- There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T.
(Knee Injury)
Haas N.
(Knee Injury)
Pellegri P.
(Knee Injury)
Pezzella G.
(Calf Injury)
Sazonov S.
(Knee Injury)
Solbakken O.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Lecce: Banda L.
(Broken ankle)
Gallo A.
(Injury)
Gaspar K.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez J.
(Chest Injury)
Pelmard A.
(Coach's decision)
Rafia H.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Brancolini F.
(Injury)
Fazzini J.
(Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Empoli won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Lecce?
Empoli has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Empoli?
Lecce has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Lecce were as follows:
08.11.2024
Lecce
-
Empoli
1:1
13.04.2024
Lecce
-
Empoli
1:0
11.12.2023
Empoli
-
Lecce
1:1
03.04.2023
Empoli
-
Lecce
1:0
28.08.2022
Lecce
-
Empoli
1:1
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Cremonese | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Inter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Lazio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bologna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Pisa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Genoa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Lecce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Verona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Sassuolo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
