Genoa vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa).

ITALY: Serie A - Round 29
Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	ICE Sports
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	1.32
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Goal Attempts
8	15
Shots on Goal
2	2
Shots off Goal
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	8
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Shots inside the Box
3	5
Shots outside the Box
5	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
Free Kicks
10	12
Offsides
1	0
Fouls
12	10
Yellow Cards
3	2
Throw-ins
23	26
Touches in the Opposition Box
12	12
Passes
73% (250/344)	77% (345/446)
Passes in the final third
60% (53/89)	53% (48/91)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	7% (1/14)
Tackles
77% (10/13)	70% (14/20)
Clearances Total
22	19
Interceptions
10	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Miretti F. ⚽, Malinovsky R. (A),
29', Martin A. 🟨,
34', Miretti F. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Miretti F. ⚽, Malinovsky R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
46', Tete Morente ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
49', Berisha M. 🟨,
56', Malinovsky R. ↓, Matturro A. ↑,
57', Coulibaly L. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
57', Guilbert F. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Krstovic N. (Pen),
68', Krstovic N. 🟨,
72', Zanoli A. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
82', Sabelli S. ↓, Norton-Cuffy B. ↑,
82', Miretti F. ↓, Onana J. ↑,
82', Helgason T. J. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
89', Vasquez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Genoa
46.2%

Draw
31.5%

Lecce
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

30.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

31%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Lecce have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Genoa - Lecce Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.01)	3.04 ↓ (3.14)	4.27 ↓ (4.28)	4.6% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Genoa - Lecce?

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 45 - 67.2%). Lecce will win (votes: 5 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 25.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 56% – 78.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Genoa won 2.
Recent matches Genoa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lecce is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Genoa is a favorite.
There will not play in Genoa: Ahanor H. (Knee Injury) Balotelli M. (Inactive) Bani M. (Muscle Injury) Junior Messias (Muscle Injury) Thorsby M. (Calf Injury) Vitinha (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Chest Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Genoa: Cornet M. (Thigh Injury) Cuenca Martinez H. F. (Injury) Ekuban C. (Thigh Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Genoa won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.9:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Genoa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:4 (average 2.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Lecce?

Genoa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Genoa?

Lecce has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Lecce were as follows:

05.01.2025 Lecce - Genoa 0:0

28.01.2024 Genoa - Lecce 2:1

22.09.2023 Lecce - Genoa 1:0

Latest results of Genoa

07.03.2025 Cagliari - Genoa 1:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Genoa - Empoli 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Inter Milan - Genoa 1:0 ✺

17.02.2025 Genoa - Venezia 2:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Torino - Genoa 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Lecce

08.03.2025 Lecce - Milan 2:3 ✺

28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Lecce - Udinese 0:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Monza - Lecce 0:0 ✺

09.02.2025 Lecce - Bologna 0:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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