Milan vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 21
  • Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 3
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2, Sport 4
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.590.17
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
60
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
102
Passes
92% (633/689)75% (235/313)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.590.17
xG on target (xGOT)
2.620.00
Total shots
204
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
162
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
50
Corner kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
398
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
60
Free kicks
119
Passes
92% (633/689)75% (235/313)
Long passes
77% (37/48)32% (20/62)
Passes in final third
85% (151/178)51% (37/72)
Crosses
50% (11/22)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.710.24
Throw ins
1510
Fouls
911
Tackles
59% (10/17)75% (15/20)
Duels won
5140
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
0.002.62
Goals prevented
0.001.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', De Winter K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Sottil R. , Banda L. ,
  • 68', Stulic N. , Tete Morente ,
  • 72', Pulisic C. , Fullkrug N. ,
  • 73', Ricci S. , Loftus-Cheek R. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Fullkrug N. , Saelemaekers A. (A),
  • 80', Saelemaekers A. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 84', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
  • 84', Gallo A. , Ndri K. ,
  • 85', Ramadani Y. , Maleh Y. ,
  • 87', Leao R. , Nkunku C. ,
  • 87', Jashari A. , Modric L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milan
73.9%
Draw
17.9%
Lecce
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.5% 19.1% 7.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Milan - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.3)
    5.39
    (5)
    11.48
    (13)
    5%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Milan - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 36 - 83.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 3 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 72.7%94.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Lecce (1.86) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Milan (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Lecce (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 5.
    • Milan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lecce is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Milan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Milan is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Camarda F. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Red Card) Pierret B. (Muscle Injury) Veiga D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Pavlovic S. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Milan won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:9. (average 2.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 2.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Lecce were as follows:
    23.09.2025 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    08.03.2025 Lecce - Milan 2:3
    27.09.2024 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    06.04.2024 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    Latest results of Milan
    15.01.2026 Como - Milan 1:3
    11.01.2026 Fiorentina - Milan 1:1
    08.01.2026 Milan - Genoa 1:1
    02.01.2026 Cagliari - Milan 0:1
    28.12.2025 Milan - Verona 3:0
    Latest results of Lecce
    14.01.2026 Inter Milan - Lecce 1:0
    11.01.2026 Lecce - Parma 1:2
    06.01.2026 Lecce - Roma 0:2
    03.01.2026 Juventus - Lecce 1:1
    27.12.2025 Lecce - Como 0:3
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter29222565:234268
    2AC Milan29179344:212360
    3Napoli29185645:301559
    4Como29159548:222654
    5Juventus29158651:282353
    6AS Roma291631039:231651
    7Atalanta291211640:271347
    8Bologna291261138:34442
    9Lazio291010929:28140
    10Sassuolo291151335:39-438
    11Udinese291061333:42-936
    12Parma298101121:36-1534
    13Genoa29891236:40-433
    14Torino29961432:50-1833
    15Cagliari29791331:41-1030
    16Fiorentina296101334:43-928
    17Lecce29761621:39-1827
    18Cremonese29591523:44-2124
    19Pisa292121523:49-2618
    20Verona29391722:51-2918

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B