Result
3:0
23/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2 |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Asia | MBC Action |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | Sport Live |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Infinity+, Italia 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.33 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 77% | 23% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 94% (691/734) | 80% (177/221) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.33 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 94% (691/734) | 80% (177/221) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 76% (29/38) | 42% (16/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 88% (179/203) | 44% (8/18) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 0.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 3.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Siebert J. 🟥,
- 20', 1 - 0, Gimenez S. ⚽, Bartesaghi D. (A),
- 22', Ndri K. ↓, Gaspar K. ↑,
- 35', Ricci S. 🟨,
- 43', Kaba M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kaba M. ↓, Pierotti S. ↑,
- 46', Helgason T. J. ↓, Gorter O. ↑,
- 46', Ricci S. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Nkunku C. ⚽, Saelemaekers A. (A),
- 57', Tete Morente ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
- 61', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
- 61', Nkunku C. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 0, Pulisic C. ⚽, Fofana Y. (A),
- 68', Gimenez S. ↓, Balentien C. ↑,
- 70', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
- 79', Pavlovic S. ↓, Odogu D. ↑,
- 80', Berisha M. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milan
85% | Draw
10.6% | Lecce
4.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milan's performance.Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Milan - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.12 ↓
(1.32) |
9.69 ↑
(5.1) |
22.42 ↑
(11.5) |
3.9%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Milan - Lecce?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 76.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 4.
- Milan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lecce is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Milan won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:9. (average 2.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Lecce?
Milan has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Milan?
Lecce has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Lecce were as follows:
29.08.2025
Lecce
-
Milan
0:2
08.03.2025
Lecce
-
Milan
2:3
27.09.2024
Milan
-
Lecce
3:0
06.04.2024
Milan
-
Lecce
3:0
11.11.2023
Lecce
-
Milan
2:2
Draw
2025/261/64-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 5 | Parma | Bye | |
| 6 | Pescara | Rimini | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Spezia | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Sampdoria | |
| 9 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 13 | AC Milan | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Bari | |
| 15 | Lecce | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Juve Stabia | |
| 17 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 21 | Udinese | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Carrarese | |
| 23 | Cremonese | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Palermo | |
| 25 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 29 | Empoli | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Reggiana | |
| 31 | Genoa | Bye | |
| 32 | Padova | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Inter | Bye | |
| 37 | Audace Cerignola | Avellino | 1 : 0 |
| 38 | Verona | Bye | |
| 39 | Venezia | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Mantova | |
| 41 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 45 | Torino | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Modena | |
| 47 | Pisa | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Cesena | |
| 49 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 53 | Como | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Sudtirol | |
| 55 | Sassuolo | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Catanzaro | |
| 57 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 61 | Monza | Bye | |
| 62 | Bye | Frosinone | |
| 63 | Cagliari | Bye | |
| 64 | Entella | Ternana | 4 : 0 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 3 | Parma | Pescara | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Spezia | Sampdoria | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 7 | AC Milan | Bari | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Lecce | Juve Stabia | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 11 | Udinese | Carrarese | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Cremonese | Palermo | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 15 | Empoli | Reggiana | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Genoa | L.R. Vicenza | 3 : 0 |
| 17 | Inter | Bye | |
| 19 | Audace Cerignola | Verona | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Venezia | Mantova | 4 : 0 |
| 21 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 23 | Torino | Modena | 1 : 0 |
| 24 | Pisa | Cesena | 1 : 0 |
| 25 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 27 | Como | Sudtirol | 3 : 1 |
| 28 | Sassuolo | Catanzaro | 1 : 0 |
| 29 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 31 | Monza | Frosinone | 0 : 1 |
| 32 | Cagliari | Entella | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 2 | Parma | Spezia | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 4 | AC Milan | Lecce | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 6 | Udinese | Palermo | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 8 | Empoli | Genoa | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Inter | Bye | |
| 10 | Verona | Venezia | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 12 | Torino | Pisa | 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 14 | Como | Sassuolo | 3 : 0 |
| 15 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 16 | Frosinone | Cagliari | 1 : 4 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Bologna | Parma | |
| 2 | Lazio | AC Milan | |
| 3 | Juventus | Udinese | |
| 4 | Atalanta | Genoa | |
| 5 | Inter | Venezia | |
| 6 | AS Roma | Torino | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | Como | |
| 8 | Napoli | Cagliari | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
