Genk vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cegeka Arena (Genk).

Europa League - Qualification - Final
Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.07
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
87% (469/539)	80% (259/324)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.94	0.91
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
9	6
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
22	24
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
87% (469/539)	80% (259/324)
Long passes
58% (29/50)	51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
76% (143/188)	67% (46/69)
Crosses
9% (2/23)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.33	0.62
Throw-ins
25	14
Fouls
15	12
Tackles
71% (15/21)	60% (15/25)
Duels won
51	58
Clearances
17	33
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.91	0.94
Goals prevented
-1.09	-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Ito J. ⚽,
33', Monka W. 🟨,
35', Ito J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Lisman K. ⚽, Fiabema B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kozubal A. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
46', Palma L. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Bengtsson L. ⚽,
60', Skrzypczak M. ↓, Douglas A. ↑,
61', Fiabema B. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
67', Ito J. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
67', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Heynen B. ↑,
67', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
70', Rodriguez P. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
78', Medina Y. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,
90', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Genk
64.5%

Draw
20%

Lech Poznań
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Genk - Lech Poznań Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	4.79 ↑ (4.4)	6.09 ↓ (6.2)	6.4% (11.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Genk - Lech Poznań?

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Lech will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 61.2% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 3 - 60%). Lech (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
In this match, Genk is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Lech Poznań?

Genk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Genk?

Lech Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Lech Poznań were as follows:

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5

Latest results of Genk

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5 ✺

15.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Standard Liège - Genk 2:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Genk - Royal Antwerp 1:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Club Brugge - Genk 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Lech Poznań

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5 ✺

16.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 1:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań Postponed ✺

06.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:3 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	D. Zagreb	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
4	Braga	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
5	Lyon	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
6	Lille	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
7	FC Porto	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
8	Plzen	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
9	Betis	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
10	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
11	Ferencvaros	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
13	Celta Vigo	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
14	Basel	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
15	AS Roma	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
16	G.A. Eagles	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
17	Brann	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
18	Genk	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
19	Young Boys	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
20	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
21	Ludogorets	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
22	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
23	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
24	FCSB	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
25	Nottingham	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1
26	Crvena zvezda	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	Bologna	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
28	PAOK	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Celtic	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
30	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
31	Nice	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
32	Rangers	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
33	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
34	Salzburg	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
35	Feyenoord	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
36	Malmo FF	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)