Genk vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Genk
70.3%

Draw
17.8%

Lech Poznań
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+2%)

Genk - Lech Poznań Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	5.26 ↑ (4.4)	7.75 ↑ (6.2)	7.1% (11.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Genk - Lech Poznań?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lech will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
In this match, Genk is the obvious favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Lech Poznań?

Genk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Genk?

Lech Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Lech Poznań were as follows:

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5

Latest results of Genk

23.08.2025 Genk - Charleroi Postponed ✺

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5 ✺

15.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Standard Liège - Genk 2:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Genk - Royal Antwerp 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Lech Poznań

21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5 ✺

16.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 1:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lech Poznań 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań Postponed ✺

06.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:3 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Hamrun	Bye
4	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
8	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
9	Shkendija	Bye
16	Bye	Ludogorets
17	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
24	Bye	Young Boys
25	Malmo FF	Bye
32	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
33	Panathinaikos	Bye
35	Besiktas	Bye
36	Shakhtar Donetsk	Ilves	0 : 0, 6 : 0
40	Bye	Samsunspor
41	Aberdeen	Bye
45	FCSB	Bye
48	Bye	Drita
49	Lech Poznan	Bye
56	Bye	Genk
57	Fredrikstad	Bye
59	Midtjylland	Bye
60	Bye	Hibernian
61	RFS	Bye
64	Bye	KuPS
65	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
68	Bye	Noah
69	Lugano	Bye
70	Paks	CFR Cluj	0 : 3, 0 : 0
71	Levski Sofia	H. Beer Sheva	2 : 1, 0 : 0
72	Bye	Braga
73	Zrinjski	Bye
76	Bye	Breidablik
77	Servette	Bye
79	Sheriff Tiraspol	Prishtina	1 : 2, 4 : 0
80	Bye	Utrecht
81	Anderlecht	Bye
82	Trnava	Hacken	2 : 2, 0 : 1
84	Bye	Brann
85	Sabah Baku	Celje	3 : 3, 2 : 3
86	AEK Larnaca	Partizan	2 : 2, 1 : 0
87	Ostrava	Bye
88	Legia	Aktobe	1 : 0, 1 : 0
89	Rijeka	Bye
92	Bye	Shelbourne
93	PAOK	Bye
96	Bye	Wolfsberger AC

Quarter-finals

1	Hamrun	Bye
2	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
4	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
5	Shkendija	Bye
8	Bye	Ludogorets
9	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
12	Bye	Young Boys
13	Malmo FF	Bye
16	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
17	Panathinaikos	Bye
18	Besiktas	Shakhtar Donetsk	0 : 2, 2 : 4
20	Bye	Samsunspor
21	Aberdeen	Bye
23	FCSB	Bye
24	Bye	Drita
25	Lech Poznan	Bye
28	Bye	Genk
29	Fredrikstad	Bye
30	Midtjylland	Hibernian	2 : 1, 1 : 1
31	RFS	Bye
32	Bye	KuPS
33	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
34	Bye	Noah
35	Lugano	CFR Cluj	0 : 1, 0 : 0
36	Levski Sofia	Braga	0 : 1, 0 : 0
37	Zrinjski	Bye
38	Bye	Breidablik
39	Servette	Bye
40	Sheriff Tiraspol	Utrecht	1 : 4, 1 : 3
41	Anderlecht	Hacken	1 : 3, 1 : 0
42	Bye	Brann
43	Celje	AEK Larnaca	1 : 2, 1 : 1
44	Ostrava	Legia	1 : 2, 2 : 2
45	Rijeka	Bye
46	Bye	Shelbourne
47	PAOK	Bye
48	Bye	Wolfsberger AC

Semi-finals

1	Hamrun	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 3, 1 : 2
2	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
3	Shkendija	Bye
4	Bye	Ludogorets
5	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
6	Bye	Young Boys
7	Malmo FF	Bye
8	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
9	Panathinaikos	Shakhtar Donetsk	1 : 0, 0 : 0
10	Bye	Samsunspor
11	Aberdeen	Bye
12	FCSB	Drita	3 : 1, 3 : 2
13	Lech Poznan	Bye
14	Bye	Genk
15	Fredrikstad	Midtjylland	0 : 2, 1 : 3
16	RFS	KuPS	0 : 1, 1 : 2
17	Lincoln Red Imps	Noah	1 : 0, 1 : 1
18	CFR Cluj	Braga	0 : 2, 1 : 2
19	Zrinjski	Breidablik	2 : 1, 1 : 1
20	Servette	Utrecht	1 : 2, 1 : 3
21	Hacken	Brann	1 : 0, 0 : 2
22	AEK Larnaca	Legia	1 : 2, 4 : 1
23	Rijeka	Shelbourne	3 : 1, 1 : 2
24	PAOK	Wolfsberger AC	1 : 0, 0 : 0

Final

1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	Dyn. Kyiv	3 : 1
2	Shkendija	Ludogorets	2 : 1
3	Slovan Bratislava	Young Boys	0 : 1
4	Malmo FF	Sigma Olomouc	3 : 0
5	Panathinaikos	Samsunspor	2 : 1
6	Aberdeen	FCSB	2 : 2
7	Lech Poznan	Genk	1 : 5
8	Midtjylland	KuPS	4 : 0
9	Lincoln Red Imps	Braga	0 : 4
10	Zrinjski	Utrecht	0 : 2
11	Brann	AEK Larnaca	2 : 1
12	Rijeka	PAOK	1 : 0