Result
1:2
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (469/539) | 80% (259/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (469/539) | 80% (259/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (29/50) | 51% (22/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (143/188) | 67% (46/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/23) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 1 - 0, Ito J. ⚽,
- 33', Monka W. 🟨,
- 35', Ito J. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Lisman K. ⚽, Fiabema B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kozubal A. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
- 46', Palma L. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 2, Bengtsson L. ⚽,
- 60', Skrzypczak M. ↓, Douglas A. ↑,
- 61', Fiabema B. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 67', Ito J. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
- 67', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Heynen B. ↑,
- 67', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 70', Rodriguez P. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
- 78', Medina Y. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,
- 90', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Genk
64.5% | Draw
20% | Lech Poznań
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Genk - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.37) |
4.71 ↑
(4.4) |
6.12 ↓
(6.2) |
7.2%
(11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Genk - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Lech will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 61.2% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 6 - 60%). Lech (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Lech (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Genk (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Genk (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Genk (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Lech (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Genk is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Lech Poznań?
Genk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Genk?
Lech Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Lech Poznań were as follows:
21.08.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Genk
1:5
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 4 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
