Genk vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.07
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
87% (469/539)80% (259/324)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.91
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
87% (469/539)80% (259/324)
Long passes
58% (29/50)51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
76% (143/188)67% (46/69)
Crosses
9% (2/23)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.62
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
1512
Tackles
71% (15/21)60% (15/25)
Duels won
5158
Clearances
1733
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.910.94
Goals prevented
-1.09-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Ito J. ,
  • 33', Monka W. 🟨,
  • 35', Ito J. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Lisman K. , Fiabema B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kozubal A. , Thordarson G. ,
  • 46', Palma L. , Bengtsson L. ,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Bengtsson L. ,
  • 60', Skrzypczak M. , Douglas A. ,
  • 61', Fiabema B. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 67', Ito J. , Steuckers J. ,
  • 67', Hrosovsky P. , Heynen B. ,
  • 67', Adedeji-Sternberg N. , Sor Y. ,
  • 70', Rodriguez P. , Baranski B. ,
  • 78', Medina Y. , Kayembe J. ,
  • 90', Oh Hyeon-Gyu , Mirisola R. ,

Chances of winning


Genk
64.5%
Draw
20%
Lech Poznań
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 20.3% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 19.6% 13.9%

Genk - Lech Poznań Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.44
(1.37)
4.71
(4.4)
6.12
(6.2)
7.2%
(11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Genk - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Lech will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 61.2%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 6 - 60%). Lech (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Lech (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Genk (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Genk (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Genk (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Lech (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Genk is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5
    Latest results of Genk
    21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5
    15.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk 1:2
    10.08.2025 Standard Liège - Genk 2:1
    03.08.2025 Genk - Royal Antwerp 1:1
    27.07.2025 Club Brugge - Genk 2:1
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon870118:51321
    2Aston Villa870114:6821
    3Midtjylland861118:81019
    4Betis852113:7617
    5FC Porto852113:7617
    6Braga852111:5617
    7Freiburg852110:4617
    8AS Roma851213:6716
    9Genk851211:7416
    10Bologna843114:7715
    11Stuttgart850315:9615
    12Ferencvaros843112:11115
    13Nottingham842215:7814
    14Plzen83508:3514
    15Crvena zvezda84227:6114
    16Celta Vigo841315:11413
    17PAOK833217:14312
    18Lille840412:9312
    19Fenerbahce833210:7312
    20Panathinaikos833211:9212
    21Celtic832313:15-211
    22Ludogorets831412:15-310
    23Din. Zagreb831412:16-410
    24Brann82339:11-29
    25Young Boys830510:16-69
    26Sturm Graz82155:11-67
    27FCSB82159:16-77
    28G.A. Eagles82156:14-87
    29Feyenoord820611:15-46
    30Basel82069:13-46
    31Salzburg820610:15-56
    32Rangers81165:14-94
    33Nice81077:15-83
    34Utrecht80175:15-101
    35Malmo FF80174:15-111
    36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:22-201

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