Genk vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Genk - Lech Poznań
Result
1:2
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.07
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
87% (469/539)80% (259/324)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.91
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
87% (469/539)80% (259/324)
Long passes
58% (29/50)51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
76% (143/188)67% (46/69)
Crosses
9% (2/23)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.62
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
1512
Tackles
71% (15/21)60% (15/25)
Duels won
5158
Clearances
1733
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.910.94
Goals prevented
-1.09-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Ito J. ,
  • 33', Monka W. 🟨,
  • 35', Ito J. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Lisman K. , Fiabema B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kozubal A. , Thordarson G. ,
  • 46', Palma L. , Bengtsson L. ,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Bengtsson L. ,
  • 60', Skrzypczak M. , Douglas A. ,
  • 61', Fiabema B. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 67', Ito J. , Steuckers J. ,
  • 67', Hrosovsky P. , Heynen B. ,
  • 67', Adedeji-Sternberg N. , Sor Y. ,
  • 70', Rodriguez P. , Baranski B. ,
  • 78', Medina Y. , Kayembe J. ,
  • 90', Oh Hyeon-Gyu , Mirisola R. ,

Chances of winning


Genk
64.5%
Draw
20%
Lech Poznań
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 20.3% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 19.6% 13.9%

Genk - Lech Poznań Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.44
(1.37)
4.71
(4.4)
6.12
(6.2)
7.2%
(11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Genk - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Lech will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 61.2%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 3 - 60%). Lech (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Genk is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5
    Latest results of Genk
    21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5
    15.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk 1:2
    10.08.2025 Standard Liège - Genk 2:1
    03.08.2025 Genk - Royal Antwerp 1:1
    27.07.2025 Club Brugge - Genk 2:1
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4Din. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)