Result
2:0
14/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 25
- Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Strike, Strike |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (223/294) | 83% (406/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (223/294) | 83% (406/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (61/85) | 74% (105/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Wdowiak M. ⚽, Milewski S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodin M. ↓, Pllana B. ↑,
- 48', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
- 51', Pllana B. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Shkurin I. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
- 64', Kuusk M. 🟨,
- 64', Kurminowski D. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
- 64', Neugebauer T. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
- 68', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
- 73', Sezonienko K. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
- 76', Wdowiak M. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 83', Shkurin I. ↓, Kokosinski J. ↑,
- 83', Milewski S. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
- 89', Nowak B. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
Chances of winning
GKS Katowice
39.5% | Draw
26.5% | Lechia Gdańsk
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
GKS Katowice - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.18) |
3.53 ↑
(3.17) |
2.76 ↓
(2.89) |
6.8%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Lechia will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Katowice: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. GKS Katowice (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).
- GKS Katowice is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- GKS Katowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Bosch J.
(Inactive)
Czerwinski A.
(Yellow Cards)
Jedrych A.
(Yellow Cards)
Paluszek A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Mena C.
(Injury)
Wojtowicz T.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Lechia Gdańsk?
GKS Katowice has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against GKS Katowice?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
12.09.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
GKS Katowice
2:0
24.05.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
GKS Katowice
2:3
30.11.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Lechia Gdańsk
2:0
07.04.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
22.09.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
GKS Katowice
5:1
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
