Result
2:0
12/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 8
- Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 4 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (263/345) | 83% (382/461) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (263/345) | 83% (382/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (8/39) | 60% (35/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (45/90) | 70% (94/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 28% (11/40) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Kurminowski D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Bosch J. ↓, Kowalczyk M. ↑,
- 58', Wedrychowski M. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
- 59', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 60', Jedrych A. 🟨,
- 64', Neugebauer T. ↓, Cirkovic A. ↑,
- 86', Kludka B. ↓, Jaunzems A. ↑,
- 86', Kurminowski D. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
- 90+2', Mena C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Viunnyk B. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
- 90+6', Paulsen A. 🟨,
- 90+8', Milewski S. ↓, Markovic E. ↑,
- 90+8', Rogala G. ↓, Klemenz L. ↑,
- 90+10', Kapic R. 🟨,
- 90+17', 2 - 0, Mena C. ⚽, Rodin M. (A),
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk
43.7% | Draw
25.7% | GKS Katowice
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Katowice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.08) |
3.62 ↑
(3.2) |
3.07 ↓
(3.45) |
6.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Katowice?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 6 - 50%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). GKS Katowice (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Lechia (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). GKS Katowice (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 14).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lechia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
Tsarenko A.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against GKS Katowice?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Lechia Gdańsk?
GKS Katowice has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Katowice were as follows:
24.05.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
GKS Katowice
2:3
30.11.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Lechia Gdańsk
2:0
07.04.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
22.09.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
GKS Katowice
5:1
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
