Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki vs Mławianka Mława – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
07/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group I - Round 16

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Bogus B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Stryjewski Ma. ,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Rogalski S. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Tkaczyk J. ,
  • 87', Stryjewski Ma. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Dunajski A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 3, Pyrdol P. ,

Chances of winning


Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
52.6%
Draw
22.6%
Mławianka Mława
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 23.7% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 20.1% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.75)
    4.02
    (3.8)
    3.66
    (3.6)
    10.1%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Tomaszów Mazowiecki is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1.2:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława 3:3
    26.10.2024 Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 2:0
    27.04.2024 Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 2:1
    30.09.2023 Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława 2:1
    11.03.2023 Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 6:0
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Legia II19152256:193747
    2Warta Sieradz18132333:141941
    3LKS Lomza19124345:192640
    4Zabki19122556:302638
    5Suwalki19113534:241036
    6Plock II1893632:28430
    7Bron Radom1976626:32-627
    8Swit Mazowiecki1983831:36-527
    9Troszyn1974845:331225
    10T. Mazowiecki1973934:31324
    11Olimpia Elblag1866629:33-424
    12Widzew Lodz II1863933:47-1421
    13Jagiellonia II1955920:29-920
    14GKS Belchatow1955934:44-1020
    15Mlawa19451028:39-1117
    16Wikielec1735916:28-1214
    17Wasilkow18411316:40-2413
    18Biala Piska18121512:54-425

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