Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
26/11/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 18

Chances of winning


Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
24.4%
Draw
22.9%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 26.1% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 25.5% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.68
    (2.65)
    3.92
    (3.45)
    1.71
    (2.25)
    11.3%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Tomaszów Mazowiecki is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki were as follows:
    05.08.2023 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 0:1
    19.05.2023 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 3:2
    16.10.2022 Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3:0
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Legia II19152256:193747
    2Warta Sieradz18132333:141941
    3LKS Lomza19124345:192640
    4Zabki19122556:302638
    5Suwalki19113534:241036
    6Plock II1893632:28430
    7Bron Radom1976626:32-627
    8Swit Mazowiecki1983831:36-527
    9Troszyn1974845:331225
    10T. Mazowiecki1973934:31324
    11Olimpia Elblag1866629:33-424
    12Widzew Lodz II1863933:47-1421
    13Jagiellonia II1955920:29-920
    14GKS Belchatow1955934:44-1020
    15Mlawa19451028:39-1117
    16Wikielec1735916:28-1214
    17Wasilkow18411316:40-2413
    18Biala Piska18121512:54-425

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