Carina Gubin vs Lechia Zielona Góra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group III Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra
Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group III - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Staszkowian K. ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Haraszkiewicz P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 67', 2 - 1, Szmigiel M. ,

Chances of winning


Carina Gubin
35.7%
Draw
25.2%
Lechia Zielona Góra
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 24.1% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 23.8% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carina Gubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Zielona Góra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carina Gubin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lechia Zielona Góra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.95)
    3.66
    (3.78)
    2.35
    (2.02)
    8.7%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carina Gubin won 2.
    • In recent matches, Carina Gubin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Zielona Góra is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carina Gubin won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carina Gubin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Lechia Zielona Góra - Carina Gubin 2:0
    23.03.2024 Lechia Zielona Góra - Carina Gubin 1:2
    27.08.2023 Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra 1:2
    27.05.2023 Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra 3:1
    29.10.2022 Lechia Zielona Góra - Carina Gubin 2:0
    Polish Division 3 - Group III Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Polkowice1072118:9923
    2Zielona Gora1063124:71721
    3BKS Sparta Katowice1063115:7821
    4Zaglebie II1153328:24418
    5Goczalkowice Zdroj1044218:9916
    6Nysa1043317:12515
    7Woliborz1043317:18-115
    8Kluczbork1042418:12614
    9Gornik Zabrze II1042419:14514
    10Skra1035221:19214
    11Carina Gubin1035217:15214
    12Warta Gorzow1034316:16013
    13Jelenia Gora1133517:23-612
    14Starowice Dolne102358:18-109
    15Pawlowice1023510:14-49
    16Sleza Wroclaw1122710:24-148
    17Stal Jasien1021715:34-197
    18Legnica II1113712:25-136

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation