Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- III Liga - Group III - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Staszkowian K. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Haraszkiewicz P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 67', 2 - 1, Szmigiel M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Carina Gubin 35.7% | Draw 25.2% | Lechia Zielona Góra 39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carina Gubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Zielona Góra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carina Gubin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lechia Zielona Góra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.58 ↓ (2.95) |
3.66 ↓ (3.78) |
2.35 ↑ (2.02) |
8.7% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carina Gubin won 2.
- In recent matches, Carina Gubin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Zielona Góra is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carina Gubin won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carina Gubin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carina Gubin won against Lechia Zielona Góra?
Carina Gubin has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Zielona Góra won against Carina Gubin?
Lechia Zielona Góra has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carina Gubin - Lechia Zielona Góra were as follows:
05.04.2025
Lechia Zielona Góra
-
Carina Gubin
2:0
23.03.2024
Lechia Zielona Góra
-
Carina Gubin
1:2
27.08.2023
Carina Gubin
-
Lechia Zielona Góra
1:2
27.05.2023
Carina Gubin
-
Lechia Zielona Góra
3:1
29.10.2022
Lechia Zielona Góra
-
Carina Gubin
2:0
Latest results of Carina Gubin
Latest results of Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zielona Gora | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 50:10 | 40 | 42 |
| 2 | Polkowice | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 33:19 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | BKS Sparta Katowice | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 31:19 | 12 | 38 |
| 4 | Zaglebie II | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 51:32 | 19 | 37 |
| 5 | Goczalkowice Zdroj | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 30:23 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Warta Gorzow | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 33:29 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Carina Gubin | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 29:32 | -3 | 28 |
| 8 | Skra | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 35:34 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Kluczbork | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 10 | Nysa | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 32:33 | -1 | 26 |
| 11 | Gornik Zabrze II | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 38:29 | 9 | 25 |
| 12 | Sleza Wroclaw | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 26:35 | -9 | 24 |
| 13 | Jelenia Gora | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | Woliborz | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Legnica II | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | -11 | 16 |
| 16 | Pawlowice | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 15 |
| 17 | Starowice Dolne | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:41 | -25 | 13 |
| 18 | Stal Jasien | 20 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 21:63 | -42 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Division 2
Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation