Lechia Zielona Góra vs LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
01/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group III - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Zientarski M. ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Bargiel P. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 50', 3 - 0, Zientarski M. ,
  • 55', 4 - 0, Debski D. ,
  • 76', 5 - 0, Lisowski M. ,

Chances of winning


Lechia Zielona Góra
52.8%
Draw
24.7%
LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 25.2% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 24.2% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Zielona Góra's performance.
  • LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Zielona Góra that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lechia Zielona Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.99)
    3.67
    (3.55)
    4.03
    (2.98)
    10.2%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 2.
    • Zielona Góra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Goczałkowice-Zdrój has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Goczałkowice-Zdrój may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Zielona Góra is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Zielona Góra will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zielona Góra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Zielona Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój were as follows:
    09.08.2025 LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Lechia Zielona Góra 0:1
    12.04.2025 LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Lechia Zielona Góra 0:0
    14.09.2024 Lechia Zielona Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój 2:0
    20.04.2024 Lechia Zielona Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój 0:2
    23.09.2023 LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Lechia Zielona Góra 2:0
    Polish Division 3 - Group III Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zielona Gora281510362:154755
    2Polkowice28167548:321655
    3Zaglebie II28156765:481751
    4BKS Sparta Katowice29148744:301450
    5Skra28148657:48950
    6Goczalkowice Zdroj28138742:33947
    7Gornik Zabrze II281351063:362744
    8Kluczbork281261053:381542
    9Warta Gorzow281171046:43340
    10Sleza Wroclaw281171038:43-540
    11Woliborz281081039:42-338
    12Jelenia Gora28981144:47-335
    13Nysa288101044:46-234
    14Carina Gubin288101037:46-934
    15Legnica II28871347:53-631
    16Starowice Dolne28661628:60-3224
    17Pawlowice29542026:57-3119
    18Stal Jasien ✔ 28212521:87-667

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Stal Jasien is Relegated to