Castleford Tigers vs Leeds Rhinos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Super League Rugby Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos
Result
6:29
24/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 12
Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
15
Conversion Goals
14
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
01
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 7)
  • 32', Croft B. (Try),
  • 33', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Connor J. (Drop Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 22)
  • 41', Senior L. (Try),
  • 43', Milnes R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 51', Newman H. (Try),
  • 55', Hall R. (Try),
  • 56', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 67', Newman H. (Try),
  • 69', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Lisone S. (Try),
  • 75', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Castleford Tigers
27.5%
Draw
4.3%
Leeds Rhinos
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 4.1% 63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 4.3% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castleford Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Leeds Rhinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castleford Tigers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castleford Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds Rhinos than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leeds Rhinos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.9)
    21.8
    (22.4)
    1.37
    (1.46)
    7.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 39.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 1.
    • In recent matches, Castleford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Leeds is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Castleford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Leeds is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 403:459. (average 20.2:23).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Castleford won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 132:146. (average 18.9:20.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers 38:24
    01.06.2024 Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers 32:4
    28.03.2024 Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos 6:26
    22.09.2023 Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers 46:0
    03.06.2023 Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers 24:26
    Latest results of Leeds Rhinos
    Super League Rugby Table
    2025
    PlWWDLLPts
    1Hull KR16141001538:13230
    2Wigan Warriors16130012500:20526
    3Leeds16110005352:21122
    4Leigh1691105335:32421
    5St Helens16100006464:19220
    6Hull FC1680107303:28217
    7Wakefield1680008369:27816
    8Warrington1670009298:37914
    9Catalans Dragons16600010246:38412
    10Castleford16400111264:4118
    11Huddersfield16200014182:4564
    12Salford16100015101:6982

          Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaFox League, Kayo Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Sky Go, Sky Sports+, SuperlLeague+
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