Wakefield Trinity Wildcats vs Leeds Rhinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Belle Vue (Wakefield).

Challenge Cup - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Tries
0	0
Conversion goals
0	0
Conversion goal attempts
0	0
Penalty goals
0	0
Penalty goal attempts
0	0
Goals %
0	0
Dropped goals
0	0
Total runs
0	0
Metres run with ball
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (12 - 14)
2nd Half (12 - 0)

Chances of winning

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats
25.1%

Draw
4.3%

Leeds Rhinos
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

5%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

5.1%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wakefield Trinity Wildcats's form might have worsened.

Leeds Rhinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds Rhinos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wakefield Trinity Wildcats than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wakefield Trinity Wildcats, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds Rhinos than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leeds Rhinos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.82)	20.62 ↑ (18.25)	1.33 ↓ (1.48)	7% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 36.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wakefield won 3.
In recent matches, Wakefield has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Leeds is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Wakefield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Leeds is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wakefield won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 369:369. (average 18.5:18.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Wakefield won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 233:226. (average 19.4:18.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Wakefield Trinity Wildcats won against Leeds Rhinos?

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leeds Rhinos won against Wakefield Trinity Wildcats?

Leeds Rhinos has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos were as follows:

24.07.2025 Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos 15:14

31.05.2025 Leeds Rhinos - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 22:18

15.02.2025 Leeds Rhinos - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 12:14

11.06.2023 Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos 24:14

10.03.2023 Leeds Rhinos - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 26:0

Latest results of Wakefield Trinity Wildcats

05.03.2026 Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Hull 14:10 ✺

28.02.2026 Warrington Wolves - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 27:16 ✺

22.02.2026 Huddersfield Giants - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 16:18 ✺

14.02.2026 Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Toulouse Olympique 16:18 ✺

08.02.2026 Swinton Lions - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 6:82 ✺

Latest results of Leeds Rhinos

08.03.2026 Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers 22:4 ✺

28.02.2026 Hull Kingston Rovers - Leeds Rhinos 6:58 ✺

20.02.2026 Leeds Rhinos - York City Knights 46:14 ✺

13.02.2026 Leigh Leopards - Leeds Rhinos 26:14 ✺

07.02.2026 Widnes Vikings - Leeds Rhinos 12:25 ✺

Draw

2026

1/64-finals

1	Doncaster	Bye
2	Bye	Newcastle
4	Bye	Castleford
5	Blackbrook	Great Britain Police	52 : 6
6	Bye	Workington
8	Bye	St Helens
9	Batley	Bye
10	Hunslet ARLFC	York Acorn	48 : 6
12	Bye	Catalans Dragons
13	Oldham	Bye
14	Orrell St. James	Oldham St. Annes	34 : 0
15	Dewsbury	Bye
16	Kings Cross Park	West Hull	12 : 42
17	Rochdale Mayfield	Ince Rose	12 : 18
18	Bye	Swinton
20	Bye	Wakefield
21	Thatto Heath	Seaton Rangers	78 : 10
22	Bye	Widnes
24	Bye	Leeds
25	Siddal	Waterhead Warriors	14 : 22
26	Bye	Rochdale
28	Bye	Wigan Warriors
29	London Broncos	Bye
30	British Army	Wests Warriors	12 : 24
32	Bye	Bradford
33	Halifax	Bye
34	Telford Raiders	London Chargers	18 : 38
35	Woodhouse Warriors	Mirfield	4 : 38
36	Bye	Goole Vikings
37	Sheffield	Bye
38	Bye	Whitehaven
40	Bye	Warrington
41	Crusaders	Bye
42	Bedford	Medway	36 : 6
44	Bye	Leigh
45	Royal Navy	Hammersmith Hill Hoists	4 : 18
46	Bye	Salford
48	Bye	Hull FC
49	Stanningley	Dewsbury Moor	24 : 22
50	Bye	Hunslet
52	Bye	Huddersfield
53	Brighouse Rangers	Lock Lane	6 : 42
54	Bye	Featherstone
56	Bye	Hull KR
57	Wigan St Judes	Leigh Miners	17 : 12
58	Bye	Barrow
60	Bye	York RLFC
61	Heworth	Royal Air Force	48 : 0
62	Bye	Keighley
63	Midlands	Bye
64	Broncos	Aberavon Fighting Irish	26 : 32

1/32-finals

1	Doncaster	Newcastle	24 : 22
2	Bye	Castleford
3	Blackbrook	Workington	6 : 28
4	Bye	St Helens
5	Batley	Hunslet ARLFC	32 : 10
6	Bye	Catalans Dragons
7	Oldham	Orrell St. James	58 : 0
8	Dewsbury	West Hull	32 : 10
9	Ince Rose	Swinton	26 : 44
10	Bye	Wakefield
11	Thatto Heath	Widnes	0 : 76
12	Bye	Leeds
13	Waterhead Warriors	Rochdale	6 : 60
14	Bye	Wigan Warriors
15	London Broncos	Wests Warriors	86 : 0
16	Bye	Bradford
17	Halifax	London Chargers	88 : 0
18	Mirfield	Goole Vikings	4 : 58
19	Sheffield	Whitehaven	18 : 6
20	Bye	Warrington
21	Crusaders	Bedford	110 : 0
22	Bye	Leigh
23	Hammersmith Hill Hoists	Salford	10 : 42
24	Bye	Hull FC
25	Stanningley	Hunslet	0 : 44
26	Bye	Huddersfield
27	Lock Lane	Featherstone
28	Bye	Hull KR
29	Wigan St Judes	Barrow	4 : 76
30	Bye	York RLFC
31	Heworth	Keighley	0 : 66
32	Midlands	Aberavon Fighting Irish	110 : 0

1/16-finals

1	Doncaster	Castleford	0 : 14
2	Workington	St Helens	2 : 98
3	Batley	Catalans Dragons	4 : 56
4	Oldham	Dewsbury	46 : 0
5	Swinton	Wakefield	6 : 82
6	Widnes	Leeds	12 : 25
7	Rochdale	Wigan Warriors	0 : 83
8	London Broncos	Bradford	8 : 26
9	Halifax	Goole Vikings	14 : 18
10	Sheffield	Warrington	6 : 34
11	Crusaders	Leigh	6 : 60
12	Salford	Hull FC	0 : 60
13	Hunslet	Huddersfield	6 : 52
14	Lock Lane	Hull KR	0 : 104
15	Barrow	York RLFC	6 : 32
16	Keighley	Midlands	18 : 14

1/8-finals

1	Castleford	St Helens	8 : 32
2	Catalans Dragons	Oldham	58 : 0
3	Wakefield	Leeds	24 : 14
4	Wigan Warriors	Bradford	30 : 6
5	Goole Vikings	Warrington	10 : 78
6	Leigh	Hull FC	16 : 6
7	Huddersfield	Hull KR	12 : 52
8	York RLFC	Keighley	56 : 10

Quarter-finals

1	St Helens	Catalans Dragons
2	Wakefield	Wigan Warriors
3	Warrington	Leigh
4	Hull KR	York RLFC