Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Variety 2 |
Albania | SuperSport 5 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 11 |
Greece | Nova Sports Start |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 4 |
India | Disney+ Hotstar |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258 |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Nepal | Kantipur Max |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | Sky Sport Select |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 6 |
Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
Romania | Voyo |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Singapore | Hub Premier 4 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-africa | SuperSport Variety 2 |
South-america | ESPN South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.62 | 0.49 |
Ball Possession |
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56% | 44% |
Total shots |
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16 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 0 |
Passes |
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84% (412/493) | 85% (348/410) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.62 | 0.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.58 | 1.55 |
Total shots |
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16 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
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12 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
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38 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 2 |
Offsides |
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0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 11 |
Passes |
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84% (412/493) | 85% (348/410) |
Long passes |
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53% (25/47) | 37% (17/46) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (92/144) | 66% (51/77) |
Crosses |
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43% (15/35) | 0% (0/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.41 | 0.43 |
Throw-ins |
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28 | 15 |
Fouls |
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11 | 9 |
Tackles |
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50% (13/26) | 70% (14/20) |
Duels won |
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73 | 55 |
Clearances |
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16 | 46 |
Interceptions |
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3 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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1.55 | 1.58 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.45 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 8', 1 - 0, Krejci L. ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
- 12', Lopez F. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Calvert-Lewin D. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 2, Stach A. ⚽,
- 41', Bogle J. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 3, Okafor N. ⚽, Stach A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lopez F. ↓, Larsen J. S. ↑,
- 46', Gomes R. ↓, Bueno H. ↑,
- 46', Bellegarde J. ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,
- 70', Okafor N. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
- 72', Toti ↓, Andre ↑,
- 72', Mosquera Y. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 83', Longstaff S. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
- 83', Bogle J. ↓, Justin J. ↑,
- 90+2', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
- 90+2', Aaronson B. ↓, Gruev I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wolverhampton Wanderers 25.3% | Draw 32.2% | Leeds United 42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolverhampton Wanderers's form might have worsened.Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolverhampton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leeds United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.37 ↑ (2.47) |
3.29 ↓ (3.4) |
2.45 ↓ (3.03) |
-5.9% (2.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). Leeds will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolverhampton: 23.5% – 59.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Leeds (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L.
(Knee Injury)
Larsen J. S.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Leeds: Lucas Perri
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Hoever K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Leeds: Gnonto W.
(Calf Injury)
James D.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolverhampton Wanderers won against Leeds United?
Wolverhampton Wanderers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leeds United won against Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Leeds United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United were as follows:
18.03.2023
Wolverhampton Wanderers
-
Leeds United
2:4
09.11.2022
Wolverhampton Wanderers
-
Leeds United
1:0
Latest results of Wolverhampton Wanderers
Latest results of Leeds United
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arsenal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 16 |
2 | Liverpool | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
3 | Tottenham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | Bournemouth | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Manchester City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 13 |
6 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Everton | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Sunderland | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Manchester Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
12 | Brighton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
13 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
14 | Fulham | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
15 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
17 | Nottingham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
18 | Burnley | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
19 | West Ham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
20 | Wolves | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship