Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Kirby-Moore H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 1, Weir L. ⚽,
- 59', 1 - 2, Walker J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leek Town
25.7% | Draw
28.3% | Ilkeston
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leek Town's form might have worsened.Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilkeston's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leek Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilkeston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leek Town - Ilkeston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↑
(2.4) |
3.52 ↑
(3.24) |
2.16 ↓
(2.59) |
0.5%
(11.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17).
- In recent matches, Leek has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ilkeston's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Leek won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Leek Town won against Ilkeston?
Leek Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilkeston won against Leek Town?
Ilkeston has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leek Town - Ilkeston were as follows:
04.01.2025
Ilkeston
-
Leek Town
0:2
21.09.2024
Leek Town
-
Ilkeston
1:3
Latest results of Leek Town
Latest results of Ilkeston
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lancaster | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Stockton | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 22:12 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Hednesford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Gainsborough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | Warrington Rylands | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | FC United | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Prescot | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Ilkeston | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Cleethorpes | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Guiseley | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 13 | Ashton Utd | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 14 | Rushall | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 15 | Leek | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 16 | Whitby | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Hyde | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Stocksbridge | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Warrington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 20 | Workington | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 |
| 21 | Morpeth | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
