Athletic Bilbao vs Leganés: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/01/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 21
Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.14	0.86
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Goal Attempts
29	5
Shots on Goal
3	2
Shots off Goal
16	2
Blocked Shots
10	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
16	1
Shots inside the Box
18	3
Shots outside the Box
11	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
Free Kicks
8	10
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
10	8
Yellow Cards
1	1
Throw-ins
32	14
Touches in the Opposition Box
41	4
Passes
88% (461/526)	71% (189/268)
Passes in the final third
84% (208/249)	45% (30/66)
Crosses
28% (13/47)	25% (2/8)
Tackles
57% (8/14)	53% (16/30)
Clearances Total
17	55
Interceptions
5	11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
28', Altimira A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Boiro A. ↓, Berchiche Y. ↑,
61', Gorosabel A. ↓, de Marcos O. ↑,
61', Jauregizar M. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
73', Berenguer A. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
76', Raba D. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
82', de la Fuente M. ↓, Munir El Haddadi ↑,
82', Brasanac D. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,
82', Vesga M. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,

Chances of winning

Athletic Bilbao
69.4%

Draw
20.6%

Leganés
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

20.7%

9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

16.4%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2%)

Athletic Bilbao - Leganés Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	4.63 ↑ (4.6)	9.51 ↓ (10)	4.9% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Leganés?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Leganés will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 48.6% – 80.8%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic won 3.
Recent matches Athletic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Leganés is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Athletic is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Athletic: Djalo A. (Injury) Ruiz de Galarreta I. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Leganés: Franquesa E. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Athletic: Sancet O. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Leganés: Tapia R. (Calf Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Athletic won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Athletic won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Leganés?

Athletic Bilbao has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Athletic Bilbao?

Leganés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Leganés were as follows:

19.09.2024 Leganés - Athletic Bilbao 0:2

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

22.01.2025 Beşiktaş - Athletic Bilbao 4:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao 1:2 ✺

16.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 2:3 ✺

08.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona 0:2 ✺

04.01.2025 UD Logroñés - Athletic Bilbao 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Leganés

18.01.2025 Leganés - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺

15.01.2025 Almería - Leganés 2:3 ✺

11.01.2025 Espanyol - Leganés 1:1 ✺

05.01.2025 Cartagena - Leganés 1:2 ✺

22.12.2024 Leganés - Villarreal 2:5 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Leganés?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+, SportsMax App