Villarreal vs Leganés: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal).

: LaLiga - Round 36
Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.88	1.05
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
17	23
Shots on target
7	6
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
83% (288/348)	91% (513/563)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88	1.05
xG on target (xGOT)
2.60	0.64
Total shots
17	23
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
5	12
Blocked Shots
5	5
Shots inside the Box
13	8
Shots outside the Box
4	15
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
33	35
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
11	5
Passes
83% (288/348)	91% (513/563)
Long passes
54% (26/48)	73% (29/40)
Passes in final third
69% (62/90)	85% (182/215)
Crosses
67% (4/6)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.92	1.14
Throw-ins
20	16
Fouls
5	11
Tackles
73% (11/15)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
44	52
Clearances
26	13
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
xGOT faced
0.64	2.60
Goals prevented
0.64	-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Perez A. ⚽, Pedraza A. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Perez A. ⚽, Pino Y. (A),
35', Tapia R. 🟨,
44', Pino Y. 🟨,
45', 3 - 0, Pepe N. ⚽, Baena A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Navarro P. ↓, Kambwala W. ↑,
63', Neyou Y. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
63', Raba D. ↓, Munir El Haddadi ↑,
63', Rosier V. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
64', Parejo D. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
64', Garcia D. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
71', Tapia R. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
73', Pedraza A. ↓, Cardona S. ↑,
73', Pepe N. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
79', Perez A. ↓, Etta Eyong ↑,

Chances of winning

Villarreal
72.9%

Draw
16.6%

Leganés
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20.7%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

19.8%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villarreal's performance.

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2%)

Villarreal - Leganés Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.46)	5.76 ↑ (4.66)	9.19 ↑ (7.34)	3.9% (3.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Villarreal - Leganés?

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 40 - 81.6%). Leganés will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 70.8% – 92.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Leganés (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 4.
Villarreal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Leganés's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Villarreal is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Knee Injury) Albiol R. (Injury) Barry T. (Injury) Kiko Femenia (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Leganés?

Villarreal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Villarreal?

Leganés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal - Leganés were as follows:

22.12.2024 Leganés - Villarreal 2:5

Latest results of Villarreal

10.05.2025 Girona - Villarreal 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Villarreal - Osasuna 4:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Villarreal - Espanyol 1:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 3:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Villarreal - Real Sociedad 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Leganés

11.05.2025 Leganés - Espanyol 3:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Sevilla - Leganés 2:2 ✺

24.04.2025 Leganés - Girona 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Mallorca - Leganés 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Leganés - Barcelona 0:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Villarreal - Leganés?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	Aio Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV 22, SCTV Online