Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
polandPolandTVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
35
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1313
Throw-ins
2425
Fouls
1117
Goalkeeper Saves
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Usenov D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tanzharikov A. , Skvortsov L. ,
  • 56', Korzun N. 🟨,
  • 59', Shvyrev V. , Jean J. ,
  • 59', Shushenachev A. , Omirtaev O. ,
  • 61', Vatajelu B. 🟨,
  • 62', Morishita R. , Chodyna K. ,
  • 62', Gual M. , Nsame J. ,
  • 74', Bichakhchyan V. , Alfarela M. ,
  • 75', Usenov D. , Baydavletov A. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Elitim J. , Chodyna K. (A),
  • 90+3', Kapustka B. , Urbanski W. ,

Chances of winning


Aktobe
19%
Draw
25.7%
Legia Warsaw
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 25.7% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 25.2% 55.4%

Aktobe - Legia Warsaw Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.95
(4.61)
3.6
(3.6)
1.69
(1.7)
7.2%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aktobe - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Legia will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 58.7%88.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 2 - 40%). Legia (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Recent performances by Aktobe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Legia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Aktobe 1:0
    Latest results of Aktobe
    10.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Aktobe 1:0
    05.07.2025 Aktobe - Atyrau 2:0
    29.06.2025 Turan Turkistan - Aktobe 0:3
    22.06.2025 Aktobe - Astana 0:1
    14.06.2025 Kyzylzhar - Aktobe 1:1
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon540111:2912
    2Midtjylland540112:5712
    3Aston Villa54018:3512
    4Freiburg53208:3511
    5Betis53208:3511
    6Ferencvaros53209:5411
    7Braga53119:5410
    8FC Porto53117:4310
    9Genk53117:5210
    10Celta Vigo530211:749
    11Lille530210:649
    12Stuttgart53028:449
    13Plzen52306:249
    14Panathinaikos53029:729
    15AS Roma53027:529
    16Nottingham52219:548
    17PAOK522110:738
    18Bologna52217:438
    19Brann52216:338
    20Fenerbahce52215:508
    21Celtic52127:8-17
    22Crvena zvezda52124:5-17
    23Din. Zagreb52127:10-37
    24Basel52037:706
    25Ludogorets52038:11-36
    26Young Boys52037:12-56
    27G.A. Eagles52034:9-56
    28Sturm Graz51134:7-34
    29Salzburg51045:10-53
    30Feyenoord51044:9-53
    31FCSB51043:8-53
    32Utrecht50142:7-51
    33Rangers50142:9-71
    34Malmo FF50142:10-81
    35Maccabi Tel Aviv50141:14-131
    36Nice50054:12-80

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