Result
0:1
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2 |
 Kazakhstan | Kazakhstan TV |
 Poland | TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Usenov D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tanzharikov A. ↓, Skvortsov L. ↑,
- 56', Korzun N. 🟨,
- 59', Shvyrev V. ↓, Jean J. ↑,
- 59', Shushenachev A. ↓, Omirtaev O. ↑,
- 61', Vatajelu B. 🟨,
- 62', Morishita R. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
- 62', Gual M. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
- 74', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
- 75', Usenov D. ↓, Baydavletov A. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 1, Elitim J. ⚽, Chodyna K. (A),
- 90+3', Kapustka B. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aktobe
19% | Draw
25.7% | Legia Warsaw
55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Aktobe - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.95 ↑
(4.61) |
3.6
(3.6) |
1.69 ↓
(1.7) |
7.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aktobe - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Legia will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 58.7% – 88.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Aktobe (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Aktobe (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Aktobe (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Legia (votes: 11 - 64.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- Recent performances by Aktobe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Legia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Aktobe won against Legia Warsaw?
Aktobe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Aktobe?
Legia Warsaw has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
10.07.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Aktobe
1:0
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
