Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Aktobe - Legia Warsaw
Result
0:1
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
polandPolandTVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
35
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1313
Throw-ins
2425
Fouls
1117
Goalkeeper Saves
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Usenov D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tanzharikov A. , Skvortsov L. ,
  • 56', Korzun N. 🟨,
  • 59', Shvyrev V. , Jean J. ,
  • 59', Shushenachev A. , Omirtaev O. ,
  • 61', Vatajelu B. 🟨,
  • 62', Morishita R. , Chodyna K. ,
  • 62', Gual M. , Nsame J. ,
  • 74', Bichakhchyan V. , Alfarela M. ,
  • 75', Usenov D. , Baydavletov A. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Elitim J. , Chodyna K. (A),
  • 90+3', Kapustka B. , Urbanski W. ,

Chances of winning


Aktobe
19%
Draw
25.7%
Legia Warsaw
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 25.7% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 25.2% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Aktobe - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.95
    (4.61)
    3.6
    (3.6)
    1.69
    (1.7)
    7.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Aktobe - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Legia will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 58.7%88.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 2 - 40%). Legia (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Recent performances by Aktobe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Legia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Aktobe 1:0
    Latest results of Aktobe
    10.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Aktobe 1:0
    05.07.2025 Aktobe - Atyrau 2:0
    29.06.2025 Turan Turkistan - Aktobe 0:3
    22.06.2025 Aktobe - Astana 0:1
    14.06.2025 Kyzylzhar - Aktobe 1:1
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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