Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Aktobe - Legia Warsaw
Result
0:1
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
polandPolandTVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
35
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1313
Throw-ins
2425
Fouls
1117
Goalkeeper Saves
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Usenov D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tanzharikov A. , Skvortsov L. ,
  • 56', Korzun N. 🟨,
  • 59', Shvyrev V. , Jean J. ,
  • 59', Shushenachev A. , Omirtaev O. ,
  • 61', Vatajelu B. 🟨,
  • 62', Morishita R. , Chodyna K. ,
  • 62', Gual M. , Nsame J. ,
  • 74', Bichakhchyan V. , Alfarela M. ,
  • 75', Usenov D. , Baydavletov A. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Elitim J. , Chodyna K. (A),
  • 90+3', Kapustka B. , Urbanski W. ,

Chances of winning


Aktobe
19%
Draw
25.7%
Legia Warsaw
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 25.7% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 25.2% 55.4%

Aktobe - Legia Warsaw Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.95
(4.61)
3.6
(3.6)
1.69
(1.7)
7.2%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aktobe - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Legia will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 58.7%88.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 2 - 40%). Legia (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Recent performances by Aktobe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Legia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Aktobe 1:0
    Latest results of Aktobe
    10.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Aktobe 1:0
    05.07.2025 Aktobe - Atyrau 2:0
    29.06.2025 Turan Turkistan - Aktobe 0:3
    22.06.2025 Aktobe - Astana 0:1
    14.06.2025 Kyzylzhar - Aktobe 1:1
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland440011:3812
    2Freiburg43108:3510
    3Ferencvaros43108:4410
    4Celta Vigo43019:459
    5Braga43018:449
    6Aston Villa43016:249
    7Lyon43015:239
    8Plzen42206:248
    9Betis42206:248
    10PAOK42119:637
    11Brann42115:237
    12Din. Zagreb42117:617
    13Genk42115:417
    14FC Porto42114:407
    15Fenerbahce42114:407
    16Panathinaikos42027:616
    17Basel42026:516
    18AS Roma42025:416
    19Lille42026:606
    20Stuttgart42024:406
    21G.A. Eagles42024:5-16
    22Young Boys42026:10-46
    23Nottingham41216:515
    24Bologna41213:305
    25Sturm Graz41123:5-24
    26Crvena zvezda41123:5-24
    27Celtic41124:7-34
    28Salzburg41034:6-23
    29Feyenoord41033:6-33
    30Ludogorets41035:9-43
    31FCSB41033:7-43
    32Utrecht40131:5-41
    33Malmo FF40132:7-51
    34Maccabi Tel Aviv40131:8-71
    35Nice40044:9-50
    36Rangers40041:8-70

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)