Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
polandPolandTVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
35
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1313
Throw-ins
2425
Fouls
1117
Goalkeeper Saves
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Usenov D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tanzharikov A. , Skvortsov L. ,
  • 56', Korzun N. 🟨,
  • 59', Shvyrev V. , Jean J. ,
  • 59', Shushenachev A. , Omirtaev O. ,
  • 61', Vatajelu B. 🟨,
  • 62', Morishita R. , Chodyna K. ,
  • 62', Gual M. , Nsame J. ,
  • 74', Bichakhchyan V. , Alfarela M. ,
  • 75', Usenov D. , Baydavletov A. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Elitim J. , Chodyna K. (A),
  • 90+3', Kapustka B. , Urbanski W. ,

Chances of winning


Aktobe
19%
Draw
25.7%
Legia Warsaw
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 25.7% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 25.2% 55.4%

Aktobe - Legia Warsaw Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.95
(4.61)
3.6
(3.6)
1.69
(1.7)
7.2%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aktobe - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Legia will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 58.7%88.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 2 - 40%). Legia (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Recent performances by Aktobe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Legia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Aktobe 1:0
    Latest results of Aktobe
    10.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Aktobe 1:0
    05.07.2025 Aktobe - Atyrau 2:0
    29.06.2025 Turan Turkistan - Aktobe 0:3
    22.06.2025 Aktobe - Astana 0:1
    14.06.2025 Kyzylzhar - Aktobe 1:1
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon650113:31015
    2Midtjylland650113:5815
    3Aston Villa650110:4615
    4Betis642011:4714
    5Freiburg64209:3614
    6Ferencvaros642011:6514
    7Braga641110:5513
    8FC Porto64119:5413
    9Stuttgart640212:5712
    10AS Roma640210:5512
    11Nottingham632111:6511
    12Fenerbahce63219:5411
    13Bologna63219:5411
    14Plzen62406:2410
    15Panathinaikos63129:7210
    16Genk63127:6110
    17Crvena zvezda63125:5010
    18PAOK623113:1039
    19Celta Vigo630312:939
    20Lille630310:739
    21Young Boys63038:12-49
    22Brann62226:7-18
    23Ludogorets621311:14-37
    24Celtic62137:11-47
    25Din. Zagreb62138:13-57
    26Basel62048:9-16
    27FCSB62047:11-46
    28G.A. Eagles62045:11-66
    29Sturm Graz61144:8-44
    30Feyenoord61057:13-63
    31Salzburg61055:11-63
    32Utrecht60153:9-61
    33Rangers60153:11-81
    34Malmo FF60153:12-91
    35Maccabi Tel Aviv60152:18-161
    36Nice60064:13-90

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