Result
0:1
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2 |
 Kazakhstan | Kazakhstan TV |
 Poland | TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Usenov D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tanzharikov A. ↓, Skvortsov L. ↑,
- 56', Korzun N. 🟨,
- 59', Shvyrev V. ↓, Jean J. ↑,
- 59', Shushenachev A. ↓, Omirtaev O. ↑,
- 61', Vatajelu B. 🟨,
- 62', Morishita R. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
- 62', Gual M. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
- 74', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
- 75', Usenov D. ↓, Baydavletov A. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 1, Elitim J. ⚽, Chodyna K. (A),
- 90+3', Kapustka B. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aktobe
19% | Draw
25.7% | Legia Warsaw
55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Aktobe - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.95 ↑
(4.61) |
3.6
(3.6) |
1.69 ↓
(1.7) |
7.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aktobe - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Legia will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 58.7% – 88.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 2 - 40%). Legia (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- Recent performances by Aktobe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Legia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Aktobe won against Legia Warsaw?
Aktobe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Aktobe?
Legia Warsaw has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
10.07.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Aktobe
1:0
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 3 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 5 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 9 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 10 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 12 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 14 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Braga | |
| 17 | Servette | Bye | |
| 19 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Utrecht | |
| 21 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 22 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Brann | |
| 25 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 27 | Besiktas | Bye | |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
| 29 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Noah | |
| 33 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
| 37 | RFS | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | KuPS | |
| 41 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 45 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Breidablik | |
| 49 | FCSB | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Drita | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 2 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 5 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Ostrava | Legia | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
| 7 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | Servette | Bye | |
| 10 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 4, 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Brann | |
| 13 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 14 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
| 15 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Noah | |
| 17 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
| 19 | RFS | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | KuPS | |
| 21 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 23 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Breidablik | |
| 25 | FCSB | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Drita | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Midtjylland | |
| 2 | PAOK | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca | Legia | |
| 4 | CFR Cluj | Braga | |
| 5 | Servette | Utrecht | |
| 6 | Hacken | Brann | |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
| 8 | Lincoln Red Imps | Noah | |
| 9 | Rijeka | Shelbourne | |
| 10 | RFS | KuPS | |
| 11 | Hamrun | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 12 | Zrinjski | Breidablik | |
| 13 | FCSB | Drita | |
