Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Aktobe - Legia Warsaw
Result
0:1
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
polandPolandTVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
35
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1313
Throw-ins
2425
Fouls
1117
Goalkeeper Saves
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Usenov D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tanzharikov A. , Skvortsov L. ,
  • 56', Korzun N. 🟨,
  • 59', Shvyrev V. , Jean J. ,
  • 59', Shushenachev A. , Omirtaev O. ,
  • 61', Vatajelu B. 🟨,
  • 62', Morishita R. , Chodyna K. ,
  • 62', Gual M. , Nsame J. ,
  • 74', Bichakhchyan V. , Alfarela M. ,
  • 75', Usenov D. , Baydavletov A. ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Elitim J. , Chodyna K. (A),
  • 90+3', Kapustka B. , Urbanski W. ,

Chances of winning


Aktobe
19%
Draw
25.7%
Legia Warsaw
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 25.7% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 25.2% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Aktobe - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.95
    (4.61)
    3.6
    (3.6)
    1.69
    (1.7)
    7.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Aktobe - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Legia will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 58.7%88.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 2 - 40%). Legia (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Recent performances by Aktobe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Legia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aktobe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Aktobe 1:0
    Latest results of Aktobe
    10.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Aktobe 1:0
    05.07.2025 Aktobe - Atyrau 2:0
    29.06.2025 Turan Turkistan - Aktobe 0:3
    22.06.2025 Aktobe - Astana 0:1
    14.06.2025 Kyzylzhar - Aktobe 1:1
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK1 : 0