Arka Gdynia vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
07/02/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 20
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.771.14
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
314
Shots on target
27
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
37
Passes
73% (255/350)80% (356/445)
Yellow cards
15
Expected goals (xG)
0.771.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.302.18
Total shots
314
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
13
Blocked shots
04
Shots inside the box
39
Shots outside the box
15
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1122
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1511
Passes
73% (255/350)80% (356/445)
Long passes
36% (21/59)30% (15/50)
Passes in final third
47% (32/68)69% (91/131)
Crosses
17% (2/12)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.31
Throw ins
1723
Fouls
1115
Tackles
75% (12/16)71% (5/7)
Duels won
6040
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
2.181.30
Goals prevented
0.18-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Marcjanik M. , Kerk S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Reca A. , Wszolek P. ,
  • 55', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Rusyn N. , Kerk S. (A),
  • 61', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 61', Bichakhchyan V. , Zewlakow J. ,
  • 62', Wszolek P. , Kovacik S. ,
  • 63', Gaprindashvili T. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 63', Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Gutkovskis V. ,
  • 69', Kapustka B. , Urbanski W. ,
  • 71', Rusyn N. , Szysz P. ,
  • 74', Urbanski K. , Colak A. ,
  • 81', Kerk S. , Oliveira J. ,
  • 81', Jakubczyk K. , Perea L. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Colak A. , Krasniqi E. (A),
  • 90+1', Piatkowski K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Marcjanik M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Colak A. , Krasniqi E. (A),
  • 90+6', Colak A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Krasniqi E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
23.5%
Draw
27%
Legia Warsaw
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 27.6% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Arka Gdynia - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (4.1)
    3.49
    (3.23)
    1.89
    (1.76)
    6.4%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Legia will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 0.
    • In recent matches, Legia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Legia has had a series of home games.
    • Legia could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Arka: Zator D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Legia: Chodyna K. (Inactive) Kapuadi S. (Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vinagre R. (Injury) Wszolek P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Kovacik S. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Arka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia 0:0
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan27129646:37945
    2Jagiellonia27119743:34942
    3Gornik Zabrze27126939:32742
    4Zaglebie27118841:33841
    5Wisla Plock27109828:26239
    6Rakow271161036:34239
    7GKS Katowice271231236:35139
    8Motor Lublin27911736:39-338
    9Lechia Gdansk27126955:50537
    10Korona Kielce271061135:33236
    11Cracovia2799931:31036
    12Piast Gliwice271051234:36-235
    13Radomiak Radom27810943:41234
    14Pogon Szczecin271041336:42-634
    15Legia27712832:31133
    16Arka Gdynia27961228:45-1733
    17Widzew Lodz27861332:35-330
    18Termalica B-B27671433:50-1725

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1