Arka Gdynia vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
07/02/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 20
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.771.14
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
314
Shots on target
27
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
37
Passes
73% (255/350)80% (356/445)
Yellow cards
15
Expected goals (xG)
0.771.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.302.18
Total shots
314
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
13
Blocked shots
04
Shots inside the box
39
Shots outside the box
15
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1122
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1511
Passes
73% (255/350)80% (356/445)
Long passes
36% (21/59)30% (15/50)
Passes in final third
47% (32/68)69% (91/131)
Crosses
17% (2/12)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.31
Throw ins
1723
Fouls
1115
Tackles
75% (12/16)71% (5/7)
Duels won
6040
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
2.181.30
Goals prevented
0.18-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Marcjanik M. , Kerk S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Reca A. , Wszolek P. ,
  • 55', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Rusyn N. , Kerk S. (A),
  • 61', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 61', Bichakhchyan V. , Zewlakow J. ,
  • 62', Wszolek P. , Kovacik S. ,
  • 63', Gaprindashvili T. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 63', Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Gutkovskis V. ,
  • 69', Kapustka B. , Urbanski W. ,
  • 71', Rusyn N. , Szysz P. ,
  • 74', Urbanski K. , Colak A. ,
  • 81', Kerk S. , Oliveira J. ,
  • 81', Jakubczyk K. , Perea L. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Colak A. , Krasniqi E. (A),
  • 90+1', Piatkowski K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Marcjanik M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Colak A. , Krasniqi E. (A),
  • 90+6', Colak A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Krasniqi E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
23.5%
Draw
27%
Legia Warsaw
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 27.6% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Arka Gdynia - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (4.1)
    3.49
    (3.23)
    1.89
    (1.76)
    6.4%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Legia will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 25.5%74.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Legia Warsaw will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 0.
    • In recent matches, Legia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Legia has had a series of home games.
    • Legia could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Arka: Zator D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Legia: Chodyna K. (Inactive) Kapuadi S. (Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vinagre R. (Injury) Wszolek P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Kovacik S. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Arka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia 0:0
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan301410655:411452
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    4Rakow301371043:37646
    5Wisla Plock30129932:28445
    6GKS Katowice301351243:41244
    7Zaglebie301281043:36744
    8Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    9Motor Lublin30912939:45-639
    10Piast Gliwice301161339:40-139
    11Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    12Korona Kielce301081237:36138
    13Cracovia309111035:38-338
    14Pogon Szczecin301151440:45-538
    15Legia30813934:36-237
    16Widzew Lodz301061436:37-136
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B30771636:55-1928

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1